How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, White Spider Meat is cheapest from 07:00 to 10:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 CET) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 116% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

07:00 to 10:00 UTC

08:00 to 11:00 CET · index 0.749 · typical 4s 30c

Best hours to sell

14:00 to 17:00 UTC

15:00 to 18:00 CET · index 1.280 · typical 8s 89c

Spread after the 5% cut

+116%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

White Spider Meatby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	4s 67c	3s 12c	185	0.875	4
01:00	02:00	7s 5c	2s 98c	166	0.889	4
02:00	03:00	6s 80c	3s 17c	215	0.893	3
03:00	04:00	4s 29c	3s 35c	169	0.836	3
04:00	05:00	3s 2c	2s 70c	96	0.777	3
05:00	06:00	10s 50c	5s 40c	22	0.840	2
06:00	07:00	8s 44c	4s 98c	116	0.936	3
07:00	08:00	4s 47c	4s 18c	79	0.762	4
08:00	09:00	4s 21c	4s 15c	106	0.724	4
09:00	10:00	4s 23c	3s 41c	112	0.760	4
10:00	11:00	3s 72c	3s 48c	92	0.824	5
11:00	12:00	3s 70c	3s 34c	105	0.828	5
12:00	13:00	3s 61c	3s 15c	105	0.825	5
13:00	14:00	11s 10c	10s 57c	107	1.360	5
14:00	15:00	11s 13c	8s 58c	108	1.415	5
15:00	16:00	4s 36c	3s 66c	160	1.014	3
16:00	17:00	11s 19c	10s 7c	109	1.412	4
17:00	18:00	10s 72c	8s 87c	141	1.249	4
18:00	19:00	3s 84c	2s 84c	177	0.973	3
19:00	20:00	3s 55c	3s 17c	169	0.970	3
20:00	21:00	10s 18c	4s 87c	116	1.245	4
21:00	22:00	14s 85c	11s 66c	84	1.480	3
22:00	23:00	3s 67c	2s 94c	144	1.049	3
23:00	00:00	7s 41c	3s 19c	147	1.063	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/12205 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.997	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.962	1.101	4
02:00	03:00	0.959	1.113	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.831	3
04:00	05:00	1.115	0.847	4
05:00	06:00	1.027	0.824	2
06:00	07:00	1.038	0.838	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.756	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.842	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.826	5
10:00	11:00	1.014	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.979	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.053	5
13:00	14:00	0.996	1.155	5
14:00	15:00	0.966	1.242	5
15:00	16:00	0.950	0.973	4
16:00	17:00	1.011	1.054	4
17:00	18:00	0.952	1.085	4
18:00	19:00	0.939	1.116	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.143	3
20:00	21:00	1.008	1.051	4
21:00	22:00	0.996	0.945	3
22:00	23:00	1.029	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.006	1.076	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell White Spider Meat?: On PvP Horde EU, White Spider Meat is cheapest from 07:00 to 10:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 CET) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 116% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.