How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Giant Egg is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 62% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

22:00 to 01:00 CET · index 0.859 · typical 78s 63c

Best hours to sell

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

05:00 to 08:00 CET · index 1.093 · typical 1g 4s 5c

Spread after the 5% cut

+62%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Giant Eggby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g 1s 74c	90s 65c	12	1.085	3
01:00	02:00	90s 65c	90s 65c	16	0.956	3
02:00	03:00	90s 65c	90s 65c	11	0.965	3
03:00	04:00	90s 65c	90s 65c	5	0.967	3
04:00	05:00	1g 6s 65c	78s 97c	15	1.243	2
05:00	06:00	1g 3s	1g 3s	2	1.009	1
06:00	07:00	1g 2s 49c	1g 2s 49c	7	1.026	2
07:00	08:00	90s 65c	90s 31c	17	0.989	3
08:00	09:00	90s 64c	90s 30c	19	1.000	3
09:00	10:00	90s 65c	90s 64c	18	1.005	3
10:00	11:00	90s 64c	90s 64c	22	1.011	3
11:00	12:00	90s 64c	90s 64c	19	1.017	3
12:00	13:00	90s 64c	83s 48c	24	1.014	3
13:00	14:00	90s 64c	78s 64c	19	1.028	3
14:00	15:00	83s 64c	81s 65c	16	0.957	3
15:00	16:00	90s 30c	82s 63c	13	1.034	3
16:00	17:00	93s 11c	90s 49c	11	1.020	4
17:00	18:00	1g 2s 31c	1g 1s 66c	6	1.050	3
18:00	19:00	89s 65c	89s 65c	9	1.044	3
19:00	20:00	1g 99c	63s 49c	14	1.071	2
20:00	21:00	89s 99c	69s 66c	9	0.933	3
21:00	22:00	69s 66c	65s 99c	23	0.802	1
22:00	23:00	80s 82c	47s 50c	13	0.881	2
23:00	00:00	85s 41c	69s 66c	9	0.893	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/12207 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Giant Egg?: On PvP Horde EU, Giant Egg is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 62% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.