How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Yorgen Bracers is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 382% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

17:00 to 20:00 UTC

18:00 to 21:00 CET · index 0.768 · typical 1g 78s 24c

Best hours to sell

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

05:00 to 08:00 CET · index 1.642 · typical 6g 93s 61c

Spread after the 5% cut

+382%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Yorgen Bracersby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	3g 76s 83c	2g 44s 50c	13	0.823	4
01:00	02:00	3g 78s 18c	2g 57s 50c	11	0.845	4
02:00	03:00	1g 54s 25c	1g 34s 50c	17	0.864	2
03:00	04:00	1g 53s 50c	1g 34s 50c	14	0.893	2
04:00	05:00	10g 29s	8g 76s	4	2.876	3
05:00	06:00	6g 11s 17c	3g 79s 50c	9	1.042	2
06:00	07:00	4g 40s	2g 80s	7	1.010	3
07:00	08:00	4g 26s 25c	3g 3s 75c	8	1.045	4
08:00	09:00	4g 49s 89c	3g 21s 50c	8	1.255	4
09:00	10:00	3g 32s 58c	2g 34s 25c	12	0.980	4
10:00	11:00	3g 61s 31c	2g 1s 75c	14	1.023	4
11:00	12:00	3g 18s 36c	2g 54s 75c	16	0.969	4
12:00	13:00	2g 85s	2g 19s 50c	19	0.927	4
13:00	14:00	2g 84s 88c	2g 25s 50c	19	0.933	4
14:00	15:00	2g 45s 42c	1g 85s 50c	20	0.850	4
15:00	16:00	1g 58s 6c	1g 18s 33c	20	0.857	3
16:00	17:00	2g 38s 29c	1g 71s 75c	20	0.741	4
17:00	18:00	2g 46s 7c	1g 96s 33c	12	0.838	3
18:00	19:00	1g 49s 24c	1g 10s	19	0.752	3
19:00	20:00	1g 39s 41c	1g 3s 67c	19	0.715	3
20:00	21:00	4g 74s 39c	3g 67s 25c	13	0.904	4
21:00	22:00	6g 55s 70c	6g 54s 33c	4	1.237	3
22:00	23:00	4g 26s 56c	4g 24s 67c	11	0.821	3
23:00	00:00	3g 76s 75c	3g 55s	14	0.802	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/13012 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.119	4
01:00	02:00	0.950	1.120	4
02:00	03:00	0.949	1.125	3
03:00	04:00	1.009	0.838	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.016	0.824	2
06:00	07:00	1.029	0.854	3
07:00	08:00	1.010	0.730	4
08:00	09:00	1.000	0.805	5
09:00	10:00	1.031	0.790	5
10:00	11:00	1.024	0.863	5
11:00	12:00	1.012	0.899	5
12:00	13:00	1.014	0.952	5
13:00	14:00	1.009	1.035	5
14:00	15:00	0.984	1.109	5
15:00	16:00	0.972	1.110	5
16:00	17:00	1.010	1.196	5
17:00	18:00	0.953	1.077	4
18:00	19:00	0.948	1.266	4
19:00	20:00	0.945	1.256	4
20:00	21:00	1.010	1.054	4
21:00	22:00	1.007	0.947	3
22:00	23:00	1.014	1.114	3
23:00	00:00	0.992	1.078	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Yorgen Bracers?: On PvP Horde EU, Yorgen Bracers is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 382% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.