How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Horde US, Thunderwood is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 Pacific) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 19% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 Pacific · index 0.959 · typical 4g 3s 33c

Best hours to sell

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 Pacific · index 1.040 · typical 4g 4s 50c

Spread after the 5% cut

+19%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Thunderwoodby hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	4g 4s 50c	3g 55s	16	1.038	2
01:00	17:00	4g 4s 50c	3g 64s	17	1.038	2
02:00	18:00	4g 4s 50c	3g 62s 50c	17	1.042	2
03:00	19:00	3g 75s	3g	12	1.006	1
04:00	20:00	3g 74s 50c	3g	19	0.964	2
05:00	21:00	4g 2s 27c	3g 48s 33c	15	0.980	3
06:00	22:00	4g 37s 50c	3g 76s 50c	14	1.029	2
07:00	23:00	3g 62s 50c	3g 14s	13	0.939	2
08:00	00:00	4g 1s 67c	3g 59s 67c	10	0.989	3
09:00	01:00	3g 85s	3g 31s 33c	7	0.952	3
10:00	02:00	4g 5s	3g 62s	9	1.005	2
11:00	03:00	5g 12s 50c	4g 82s 50c	4	1.120	2
12:00	04:00	3g 95s	3g 89s 50c	9	0.945	2
13:00	05:00	4g 20s	4g 20s	4	0.960	1
14:00	06:00	4g 26s 67c	4g 26s 33c	7	0.977	3
15:00	07:00	3g 70s	3g 60s	11	0.946	1
16:00	08:00	4g 20s	1g 90s	6	0.964	1
17:00	09:00	4g 20s	4g 19s	5	0.968	1
18:00	10:00	4g 19s 50c	4g 9s 50c	4	1.036	2
19:00	11:00	4g 19s 50c	3g 59s 50c	3	1.045	2
20:00	12:00	4g 27s 33c	4g 22s 67c	3	1.011	3
21:00	13:00	4g 27s 33c	3g 86s 67c	8	1.019	3
22:00	14:00	4g 17s 67c	4g 12s 67c	11	0.996	3
23:00	15:00	4g 4s 50c	3g 62s 50c	19	1.031	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.us/13062 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	0.991	1.028	4
01:00	17:00	1.004	1.005	3
02:00	18:00	0.999	1.030	4
03:00	19:00	1.006	1.060	2
04:00	20:00	0.986	1.128	4
05:00	21:00	0.988	1.185	4
06:00	22:00	0.989	1.081	3
07:00	23:00	0.981	1.300	3
08:00	00:00	0.974	1.290	3
09:00	01:00	1.212	1.051	3
10:00	02:00	1.002	1.214	2
11:00	03:00	1.044	0.967	3
12:00	04:00	0.989	0.991	3
13:00	05:00	1.026	0.877	2
14:00	06:00	0.983	0.884	4
15:00	07:00	0.957	0.855	2
16:00	08:00	0.992	0.839	1
17:00	09:00	0.978	0.854	1
18:00	10:00	0.953	0.903	3
19:00	11:00	0.983	0.798	4
20:00	12:00	1.004	0.738	4
21:00	13:00	0.987	0.935	3
22:00	14:00	0.988	0.967	3
23:00	15:00	0.982	1.019	2

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Thunderwood?: On Normal Horde US, Thunderwood is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 Pacific) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 19% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.