How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Tigerstrike Mantle is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 0.893 · typical 8g 38s 17c

Best hours to sell

19:00 to 22:00 UTC

20:00 to 23:00 CET · index 1.067 · typical 8g 8s 75c

Spread after the 5% cut

-5%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Tigerstrike Mantleby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	12g 91s	10g 18s	10	1.027	2
02:00	03:00	10g 41s	10g 18s	10	0.891	2
03:00	04:00	10g 41s	10g 18s	11	0.923	2
04:00	05:00	4g 32s 50c	3g 98s 50c	19	0.865	2
05:00	06:00	15g 37s	15g 37s	3	1.071	1
06:00	07:00	7g 92s 33c	7g 66s 67c	11	0.959	3
07:00	08:00	7g 73s 33c	7g 66s 33c	11	0.959	3
08:00	09:00	7g 73s 33c	6g 84s 33c	11	0.994	3
09:00	10:00	7g 66s	7g 13s 33c	10	0.999	3
10:00	11:00	7g 16s	7g 1s	12	0.961	3
11:00	12:00	9g 25s	8g 90s	10	1.036	2
12:00	13:00	4g 50s	4g 44s	15	0.974	1
13:00	14:00	9g 25s	9g 12s	11	1.059	2
14:00	15:00	9g 12s 50c	7g 21s	14	1.082	2
15:00	16:00	8g 17s	7g 19s	20	1.023	2
16:00	17:00	7g 22s	7g 11s 50c	21	0.969	2
17:00	18:00	7g 21s 64c	6g 42s 50c	21	0.974	2
18:00	19:00	7g 20s	6g	20	1.000	2
19:00	20:00	8g 59s 24c	5g 96s	20	1.177	2
20:00	21:00	6g 69s	5g 45s	22	1.015	2
21:00	22:00	8g 98s	7g	12	1.010	1
22:00	23:00	10g 92s	9g 82s 33c	14	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	5g 22s 50c	4g 55s	21	0.915	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/13108 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Tigerstrike Mantle?: On PvP Alliance EU, Tigerstrike Mantle is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.