How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Riverpaw Mystic Staff is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 54% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 Pacific · index 0.784 · typical 1g 10s 61c

Best hours to sell

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

00:00 to 03:00 Pacific · index 1.239 · typical 1g 78s 72c

Spread after the 5% cut

+54%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Riverpaw Mystic Staffby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	1g 84s 50c	1g 34s	5	1.303	2
01:00	17:00	1g 84s 50c	1g 34s	5	1.303	2
02:00	18:00	1g 34s 50c	1g 30s	6	0.889	2
03:00	19:00	1g 34s 13c	1g 18s	6	0.870	2
04:00	20:00	1g 45s 33c	1g 36s 33c	3	0.957	3
05:00	21:00	1g 41s 8c	1g 39s 67c	3	0.938	3
06:00	22:00	1g 12s 25c	1g 12s 25c	2	0.869	4
07:00	23:00	1g 45s 33c	1g 39s 67c	3	1.014	3
08:00	00:00	1g 87s	1g 87s	2	1.201	2
09:00	01:00	1g 77s 50c	1g 77s 50c	2	1.136	2
10:00	02:00	1g 71s 67c	1g 71s 67c	2	1.379	3
11:00	03:00	1g 59s 80c	1g 35s 50c	3	1.092	2
12:00	04:00	99s	99s	4	0.780	1
13:00	05:00	1g 35s 50c	1g 35s	5	0.909	2
14:00	06:00	97s 33c	97s	3	0.665	3
15:00	07:00	1g 72s	1g 71s	5	1.123	1
16:00	08:00	1g 35s 50c	1g 34s 50c	5	0.977	2
17:00	09:00	1g 35s 50c	1g 34s 50c	5	1.015	2
18:00	10:00	99s	99s	2	0.878	1
19:00	11:00	99s	99s	2	0.922	1
20:00	12:00	1g 84s 50c	1g 34s	5	1.251	2
21:00	13:00	1g 99s	1g 99s	2	1.162	1
22:00	14:00	1g 10s	1g 10s	3	0.701	2
23:00	15:00	96s 56c	95s 67c	4	0.667	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/1391 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Riverpaw Mystic Staff?: On PvP Alliance US, Riverpaw Mystic Staff is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 54% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.