How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Aboriginal Sash is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 18:00 to 21:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 105% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 0.905 · typical 11s 12c

Best hours to sell

18:00 to 21:00 UTC

19:00 to 22:00 CET · index 1.161 · typical 14s 71c

Spread after the 5% cut

+105%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Aboriginal Sashby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	10s 50c	7s	21	0.975	2
01:00	02:00	17s	9s	19	1.154	4
02:00	03:00	9s 75c	8s 25c	14	0.820	4
03:00	04:00	16s	7s 50c	21	0.937	2
04:00	05:00	10s 67c	9s 33c	14	0.994	3
05:00	06:00	16s 25c	8s 50c	14	1.152	4
06:00	07:00	14s 69c	6s 75c	15	1.072	4
07:00	08:00	13s 27c	8s	11	0.938	5
08:00	09:00	15s 60c	11s 20c	11	1.063	5
09:00	10:00	11s 25c	10s 17c	11	0.897	6
10:00	11:00	11s 92c	8s 17c	9	0.850	6
11:00	12:00	14s 83c	8s 83c	11	1.043	6
12:00	13:00	11s 56c	10s 33c	13	0.826	3
13:00	14:00	15s 25c	5s 50c	18	1.075	4
14:00	15:00	14s 75c	12s 25c	13	1.009	4
15:00	16:00	14s 73c	10s 75c	15	1.010	4
16:00	17:00	13s 22c	9s 60c	18	0.946	5
17:00	18:00	13s 96c	10s 75c	15	0.978	4
18:00	19:00	13s 89c	10s 67c	15	1.125	3
19:00	20:00	16s 53c	11s	17	1.226	4
20:00	21:00	13s 71c	10s	16	1.132	3
21:00	22:00	18s	14s	25	1.037	1
22:00	23:00	11s 22c	7s	16	0.798	3
23:00	00:00	11s 65c	6s 50c	15	0.943	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/14113 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.937	1.088	2
01:00	02:00	0.974	1.030	5
02:00	03:00	1.003	1.044	5
03:00	04:00	1.026	1.003	2
04:00	05:00	1.019	0.931	4
05:00	06:00	1.035	0.837	4
06:00	07:00	1.020	0.813	5
07:00	08:00	1.042	0.838	6
08:00	09:00	1.046	0.832	6
09:00	10:00	1.029	0.903	6
10:00	11:00	1.035	0.974	6
11:00	12:00	0.994	1.064	6
12:00	13:00	1.005	0.899	3
13:00	14:00	0.998	0.967	4
14:00	15:00	0.992	0.995	4
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.035	4
16:00	17:00	0.977	1.075	5
17:00	18:00	0.977	1.117	4
18:00	19:00	0.967	1.157	3
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.083	4
20:00	21:00	0.956	1.187	3
21:00	22:00	0.962	1.043	1
22:00	23:00	0.982	1.102	3
23:00	00:00	1.047	0.981	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Aboriginal Sash?: On PvP Alliance EU, Aboriginal Sash is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 18:00 to 21:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 105% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.