How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Alliance US, Aboriginal Footwraps is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 Pacific) and dearest from 23:00 to 02:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 462% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

22:00 to 01:00 Pacific · index 0.735 · typical 24s 11c

Best hours to sell

23:00 to 02:00 UTC

15:00 to 18:00 Pacific · index 1.506 · typical 47s 19c

Spread after the 5% cut

+462%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Aboriginal Footwrapsby hour · Normal Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	37s	6s 50c	19	1.249	4
01:00	17:00	51s 33c	6s 67c	18	1.880	3
02:00	18:00	33s 38c	5s 50c	25	1.301	4
03:00	19:00	25s 25c	5s 25c	28	0.870	4
04:00	20:00	25s 33c	5s 67c	32	0.849	3
05:00	21:00	24s 78c	5s 67c	30	0.817	3
06:00	22:00	18s	5s 25c	26	0.555	4
07:00	23:00	24s 33c	13s 67c	20	0.993	3
08:00	00:00	30s	5s	32	0.657	1
09:00	01:00	19s	5s 50c	30	0.763	2
10:00	02:00	23s 50c	5s 50c	26	0.849	2
11:00	03:00	18s 50c	5s 50c	25	0.767	2
12:00	04:00	10s	10s	2	0.721	1
13:00	05:00	40s	5s	25	1.105	1
14:00	06:00	29s 50c	7s 75c	15	0.890	4
15:00	07:00	37s	8s 33c	14	1.028	3
16:00	08:00	42s 75c	10s	12	1.098	2
17:00	09:00	32s	7s 75c	15	0.983	4
18:00	10:00	36s 75c	7s 75c	16	1.074	4
19:00	11:00	43s 33c	8s 33c	17	1.228	3
20:00	12:00	17s	8s 33c	18	0.939	3
21:00	13:00	17s 33c	8s	17	0.972	3
22:00	14:00	34s 25c	7s 25c	21	1.023	4
23:00	15:00	53s 25c	7s 50c	21	1.387	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.alliance.us/14114 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	0.999	1.031	4
01:00	17:00	0.992	1.055	4
02:00	18:00	0.999	1.119	5
03:00	19:00	0.998	1.158	4
04:00	20:00	0.994	1.182	4
05:00	21:00	1.007	1.211	4
06:00	22:00	1.014	1.255	5
07:00	23:00	0.955	0.998	3
08:00	00:00	0.968	1.133	1
09:00	01:00	0.966	1.140	2
10:00	02:00	0.974	1.077	3
11:00	03:00	0.991	1.040	3
12:00	04:00	1.105	0.795	1
13:00	05:00	0.985	0.943	1
14:00	06:00	1.009	0.896	4
15:00	07:00	1.000	0.848	3
16:00	08:00	1.046	0.809	2
17:00	09:00	0.999	0.833	4
18:00	10:00	0.990	0.847	4
19:00	11:00	1.018	0.869	3
20:00	12:00	0.982	0.936	3
21:00	13:00	0.987	0.947	3
22:00	14:00	1.028	0.908	4
23:00	15:00	0.994	0.970	2

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Aboriginal Footwraps?: On Normal Alliance US, Aboriginal Footwraps is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 Pacific) and dearest from 23:00 to 02:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 462% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.