How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Sanguine Trousers is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 31% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 CET · index 0.893 · typical 28s 39c

Best hours to sell

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 CET · index 1.111 · typical 37s 94c

Spread after the 5% cut

+31%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Sanguine Trousersby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	35s 67c	30s 67c	31	1.074	3
01:00	02:00	34s 67c	30s	34	1.060	3
02:00	03:00	34s 33c	30s	31	1.065	3
03:00	04:00	34s 33c	26s 33c	22	1.081	3
04:00	05:00	24s 50c	17s	27	1.089	2
05:00	06:00	55s	44s	12	1.161	1
06:00	07:00	32s	30s 50c	22	0.859	2
07:00	08:00	27s	26s	17	0.920	3
08:00	09:00	26s 17c	26s	19	0.901	3
09:00	10:00	26s	26s	18	0.911	3
10:00	11:00	26s	24s 67c	20	0.916	3
11:00	12:00	26s	24s 67c	21	0.929	3
12:00	13:00	25s 78c	24s 67c	23	0.942	3
13:00	14:00	24s 67c	24s 67c	23	0.934	3
14:00	15:00	24s 67c	24s 67c	25	0.952	3
15:00	16:00	24s 67c	24s 67c	26	0.969	3
16:00	17:00	28s 50c	28s 50c	24	0.980	2
17:00	18:00	37s 33c	37s	16	0.999	3
18:00	19:00	28s 50c	26s 50c	28	1.017	2
19:00	20:00	28s 50c	26s	33	1.036	2
20:00	21:00	37s 33c	35s 67c	22	1.056	3
21:00	22:00	17s	17s	33	1.003	1
22:00	23:00	27s 25c	20s 50c	40	1.058	2
23:00	00:00	36s 67c	32s	28	1.088	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/14379 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.107	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.115	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.826	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.833	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.828	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.897	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.952	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.023	5
13:00	14:00	1.001	1.111	5
14:00	15:00	0.975	1.202	5
15:00	16:00	0.955	1.199	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.147	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Sanguine Trousers?: On PvP Horde EU, Sanguine Trousers is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 31% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.