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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde US, Pattern: Mooncloth Bag is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 Pacific) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 38% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

13:00 to 16:00 Pacific · index 0.795 · typical 218g 22s

Best hours to sell

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 Pacific · index 1.187 · typical 294g 93s

Spread after the 5% cut

+38%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Pattern: Mooncloth Bagby hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:00295g295g0.929
01:00295g295g0.937
02:00295g295g0.955
03:00295g295g0.977
04:00295g295g0.999
05:00295g295g1.019
06:00295g295g1.046
07:00247g 50s247g 50s0.845
08:00247g 50s247g 50s0.864
09:00247g 50s247g 50s0.878
10:00295g294g1.162
11:00295g294g1.195
12:00294g 80s250g1.203
13:00325g325g1.151
14:00325g285g1.158
15:00312g 50s280g1.113
16:00315g280g1.131
17:00325g280g1.182
18:00305g280g1.105
19:00258g 12s225g0.932
20:00227g 50s207g 99s0.832
21:00228g 33s207g 99s0.837
22:00220g 59s200g0.803
23:00205g 74s199g 50s0.743

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.us/14499 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:001.0101.0225
01:001.0220.9784
02:001.0420.9446
03:001.0221.0096
04:000.9851.0676
05:000.9641.1074
06:000.9701.1216
07:001.0121.1114
08:001.0371.0485
09:001.0471.0086
10:000.9911.0246
11:000.9750.9756
12:000.9680.9646
13:000.9620.9446
14:000.9920.9196
15:000.9990.8995
16:001.0130.8656
17:001.0150.8916
18:001.0190.9166
19:001.0030.9576
20:000.9881.0236
21:000.9961.0276
22:000.9811.0715
23:000.9871.1096

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

When is the WoW Forever auction house cheapest during the day?
Across PvP Horde US, prices run cheapest around 13:00 UTC (05:00 Pacific), 3.8% under the daily average, and dearest around 09:00 UTC (01:00 Pacific), 4.7% over. The pattern is read from the hourly price of the market's largest positions over the last few weeks, each hour against the day around it.
What is the best time of day to buy and sell Pattern: Mooncloth Bag?
On PvP Horde US, Pattern: Mooncloth Bag is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 Pacific) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 38% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde US through the night fills the gaps.