How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Hulking Gauntlets is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 57% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 CET · index 0.868 · typical 20s 1c

Best hours to sell

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

22:00 to 01:00 CET · index 1.102 · typical 29s 17c

Spread after the 5% cut

+57%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Hulking Gauntletsby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	23s 67c	17s 67c	32	1.047	3
01:00	02:00	22s 67c	14s 33c	34	1.015	3
02:00	03:00	22s	16s 67c	32	1.016	3
03:00	04:00	22s 11c	16s 67c	25	1.053	3
04:00	05:00	16s	14s	22	0.979	2
05:00	06:00	32s 34c	27s 50c	16	0.907	2
06:00	07:00	19s 33c	16s	20	0.772	3
07:00	08:00	17s 78c	15s 33c	25	0.934	3
08:00	09:00	22s 92c	21s 75c	20	0.899	4
09:00	10:00	29s 90c	24s 75c	16	1.076	4
10:00	11:00	25s 38c	24s 25c	19	0.994	4
11:00	12:00	25s 2c	23s 25c	19	0.989	4
12:00	13:00	24s 88c	24s	20	0.994	4
13:00	14:00	24s 56c	20s 50c	16	0.826	4
14:00	15:00	27s 33c	25s 33c	22	1.008	3
15:00	16:00	18s 38c	15s	28	0.980	2
16:00	17:00	36s 67c	30s 50c	19	1.073	4
17:00	18:00	35s 55c	28s 25c	23	1.068	4
18:00	19:00	32s	27s	24	1.096	3
19:00	20:00	17s 15c	14s	42	0.965	2
20:00	21:00	30s 43c	24s 25c	28	1.003	4
21:00	22:00	46s 33c	45s 67c	15	1.261	3
22:00	23:00	17s 50c	15s 50c	31	1.018	2
23:00	00:00	23s 67c	20s	33	1.028	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/14747 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.005	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.119	4
02:00	03:00	0.949	1.148	3
03:00	04:00	1.010	0.846	3
04:00	05:00	1.116	0.870	4
05:00	06:00	1.025	0.832	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.857	3
07:00	08:00	1.025	0.789	4
08:00	09:00	0.996	0.878	5
09:00	10:00	1.033	0.848	5
10:00	11:00	1.007	0.958	5
11:00	12:00	1.007	1.041	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.122	5
13:00	14:00	1.001	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.974	1.034	4
15:00	16:00	0.953	0.970	4
16:00	17:00	1.030	1.046	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.084	4
18:00	19:00	0.928	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.021	1.047	4
21:00	22:00	1.000	0.959	3
22:00	23:00	1.037	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.018	1.067	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Hulking Gauntlets?: On PvP Horde EU, Hulking Gauntlets is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 57% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.