How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Scroll of Protection II is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 89% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 CET · index 0.914 · typical 3s 70c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 1.183 · typical 6s 63c

Spread after the 5% cut

+89%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Scroll of Protection IIby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	5s 81c	4s 45c	58	1.116	4
01:00	02:00	5s 3c	4s 36c	62	0.939	4
02:00	03:00	3s 4c	2s 63c	88	0.891	3
03:00	04:00	3s 4c	3s 2c	64	0.913	3
04:00	05:00	6s 57c	6s 20c	26	1.121	4
05:00	06:00	6s 95c	6s 95c	16	0.908	2
06:00	07:00	5s 62c	5s 48c	29	0.967	3
07:00	08:00	4s 77c	4s 40c	25	0.980	4
08:00	09:00	5s 73c	5s 69c	23	0.960	5
09:00	10:00	5s 72c	5s 37c	29	0.974	5
10:00	11:00	5s 57c	5s 42c	37	0.940	5
11:00	12:00	5s 47c	5s 24c	50	0.923	5
12:00	13:00	5s 45c	5s 24c	50	0.939	5
13:00	14:00	5s 53c	5s 35c	58	0.985	5
14:00	15:00	5s 44c	5s 32c	73	0.972	5
15:00	16:00	4s 35c	4s 2c	86	0.934	4
16:00	17:00	5s 58c	3s 89c	79	1.038	5
17:00	18:00	6s 18c	4s 66c	71	0.977	4
18:00	19:00	4s 30c	2s 94c	93	0.931	4
19:00	20:00	4s 29c	3s 96c	73	0.935	4
20:00	21:00	6s 53c	4s 90c	58	1.141	4
21:00	22:00	7s 29c	7s 16c	52	1.084	3
22:00	23:00	7s 16c	3s	63	1.259	3
23:00	00:00	6s 91c	5s 77c	62	1.174	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/1478 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.119	4
01:00	02:00	0.950	1.120	4
02:00	03:00	0.949	1.125	3
03:00	04:00	1.009	0.838	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.016	0.824	2
06:00	07:00	1.029	0.854	3
07:00	08:00	1.010	0.730	4
08:00	09:00	1.000	0.805	5
09:00	10:00	1.031	0.790	5
10:00	11:00	1.024	0.863	5
11:00	12:00	1.012	0.899	5
12:00	13:00	1.014	0.952	5
13:00	14:00	1.009	1.035	5
14:00	15:00	0.984	1.109	5
15:00	16:00	0.972	1.110	5
16:00	17:00	1.010	1.196	5
17:00	18:00	0.953	1.077	4
18:00	19:00	0.948	1.266	4
19:00	20:00	0.945	1.256	4
20:00	21:00	1.010	1.054	4
21:00	22:00	1.007	0.947	3
22:00	23:00	1.014	1.114	3
23:00	00:00	0.992	1.078	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Scroll of Protection II?: On PvP Horde EU, Scroll of Protection II is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 89% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.