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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Best hours to sell

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Spread after the 5% cut

Needs both windows.

Confidence

No pattern

No pattern yet: only 8 of the 24 hours of the day have been scanned on this market in the last 28 days. It fills in as players scan through the day.

Bloodforged Beltby hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
01:003g3g1.333
02:003g3g1.333
03:003g3g1.333
04:003g3g1.333
05:003g3g1.333
07:001g1g0.444
08:001g1g0.444
09:001g1g0.444

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.us/14950 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9871.0354
01:001.0061.0143
02:001.0051.0384
03:001.0181.0862
04:000.9871.1454
05:000.9881.2104
06:000.9891.0853
07:000.9731.3293
08:000.9721.3123
09:001.2181.0833
10:001.0331.0441
11:001.0470.9803
12:000.9850.9883
13:001.0240.8802
14:000.9860.8804
15:000.9490.8392
16:000.9850.8321
17:000.9730.8551
18:000.9460.9003
19:000.9790.7944
20:001.0010.7434
21:000.9840.9333
22:000.9840.9703
23:000.9801.0232

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.