How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Sequoia Hammer is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 Pacific) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 55% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

20:00 to 23:00 Pacific · index 0.843 · typical 1g 2s 74c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 Pacific · index 1.162 · typical 1g 56s 72c

Spread after the 5% cut

+55%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Sequoia Hammerby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	90s	70s 50c	18	0.836	2
01:00	17:00	1g 87s 22c	1g 55s 33c	11	1.331	3
02:00	18:00	90s 50c	70s 50c	21	0.838	2
03:00	19:00	1g 63c	70s 50c	19	0.933	2
04:00	20:00	88s 33c	76s 33c	16	0.822	3
05:00	21:00	1g 8s 81c	1g 5s	14	0.844	4
06:00	22:00	1g 11s 8c	1g 6s	13	0.862	4
07:00	23:00	1g 7s 25c	1g 6s	14	0.834	4
08:00	00:00	1g 52s 25c	85s	10	1.007	2
09:00	01:00	1g 72s 50c	85s	9	1.199	2
10:00	02:00	1g 33s 75c	1g	10	1.069	4
11:00	03:00	1g 28s 33c	81s 33c	8	0.920	3
12:00	04:00	1g 78s	1g 78s	1	1.371	1
13:00	05:00	1g 39s	1g 19s	8	1.071	2
14:00	06:00	1g 22s 50c	72s 50c	13	0.968	2
15:00	07:00	1g 22s 50c	72s 50c	14	0.979	2
16:00	08:00	1g 15s 33c	84s 33c	10	0.902	3
17:00	09:00	1g 13s 11c	84s 33c	10	0.886	3
18:00	10:00	1g 47s 50c	92s 50c	7	1.031	2
19:00	11:00	1g 29s 25c	92s 50c	7	0.909	2
20:00	12:00	1g 36s	91s	10	1.180	2
21:00	13:00	1g 21s 67c	70s	11	0.972	1
22:00	14:00	2g 12s 50c	1g 97s 50c	8	1.333	2
23:00	15:00	1g 23s 89c	88s	12	0.902	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/15225 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Sequoia Hammer?: On PvP Alliance US, Sequoia Hammer is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 Pacific) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 55% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.