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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Horde US, Crescent Edge is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 178% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 Pacific · index 0.757 · typical 4g

Best hours to sell

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

19:00 to 22:00 Pacific · index 1.230 · typical 11g 72s

Spread after the 5% cut

+178%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Crescent Edgeby hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:004g4g0.757
01:0016g 8s16g 8s1.407
02:0015g 8s15g 8s1.275
03:005g5g0.985
04:0015g 8s15g 8s1.352
05:0015g 8s15g 8s1.352
07:008g 67s8g 67s1.094
08:008g 67s8g 67s1.080
10:007g 17s7g 17s1.389
12:007g 17s7g 17s0.658
14:007g 17s7g 17s0.767
15:007g 17s7g 17s0.887
19:004g4g0.710
21:004g4g0.772
22:004g4g0.757
23:004g4g0.757

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.us/15235 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9911.0284
01:001.0041.0053
02:000.9991.0304
03:001.0061.0602
04:000.9861.1284
05:000.9881.1854
06:000.9891.0813
07:000.9811.3003
08:000.9741.2903
09:001.2121.0513
10:001.0021.2142
11:001.0440.9673
12:000.9890.9913
13:001.0260.8772
14:000.9830.8844
15:000.9570.8552
16:000.9920.8391
17:000.9780.8541
18:000.9530.9033
19:000.9830.7984
20:001.0040.7384
21:000.9870.9353
22:000.9880.9673
23:000.9821.0192

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Crescent Edge?
On Normal Horde US, Crescent Edge is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 178% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.