How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Spiked Chain Breastplate is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 77% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

11:00 to 14:00 CET · index 0.827 · typical 57s 13c

Best hours to sell

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 CET · index 1.225 · typical 86s 97c

Spread after the 5% cut

+77%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Spiked Chain Breastplateby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	77s 78c	56s 33c	12	1.098	3
01:00	02:00	74s 67c	56s 33c	11	1.054	3
02:00	03:00	71s 67c	49s 67c	11	1.004	3
03:00	04:00	79s 67c	63s	10	1.189	3
04:00	05:00	61s 25c	34s 50c	14	1.225	2
05:00	06:00	1g 20s	1g 20s	4	1.260	1
06:00	07:00	80s	68s 50c	13	1.061	2
07:00	08:00	65s 75c	55s 67c	8	0.975	3
08:00	09:00	64s 17c	39s 33c	9	1.006	3
09:00	10:00	52s 33c	38s	9	0.869	3
10:00	11:00	54s 67c	38s	10	0.851	3
11:00	12:00	46s 63c	38s	11	0.786	3
12:00	13:00	70s 8c	64s	8	0.845	4
13:00	14:00	72s 77c	64s	11	0.907	4
14:00	15:00	76s 65c	64s	10	1.020	4
15:00	16:00	47s 67c	37s 33c	12	0.857	3
16:00	17:00	79s 89c	73s	8	0.910	3
17:00	18:00	85s 27c	66s 67c	10	1.029	3
18:00	19:00	49s	37s 50c	16	0.851	2
19:00	20:00	64s 73c	37s 50c	16	1.124	2
20:00	21:00	92s 14c	66s 33c	10	1.176	3
21:00	22:00	44s 33c	29s	16	0.912	1
22:00	23:00	51s 67c	36s 50c	15	0.994	2
23:00	00:00	74s 44c	59s 67c	11	0.997	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/15518 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Spiked Chain Breastplate?: On PvP Horde EU, Spiked Chain Breastplate is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 77% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.