How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Shredder Operating Manual - Page 1 is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 233% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

17:00 to 20:00 UTC

18:00 to 21:00 CET · index 0.817 · typical 15s 6c

Best hours to sell

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 CET · index 1.308 · typical 24s 67c

Spread after the 5% cut

+233%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Shredder Operating Manual - Page 1by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	19s 69c	13s	47	1.024	4
01:00	02:00	20s	16s 25c	65	1.040	4
02:00	03:00	14s 67c	11s	106	0.814	3
03:00	04:00	26s 33c	15s	78	1.469	3
04:00	05:00	23s 17c	12s 67c	72	1.202	3
05:00	06:00	24s 50c	23s 50c	34	1.252	2
06:00	07:00	17s 90c	9s 33c	76	0.921	3
07:00	08:00	21s 9c	13s 50c	85	1.075	4
08:00	09:00	20s 22c	14s 25c	89	1.009	4
09:00	10:00	23s 18c	9s 75c	71	1.165	4
10:00	11:00	18s 65c	14s 25c	67	0.918	4
11:00	12:00	19s 36c	8s 75c	80	0.942	4
12:00	13:00	24s 49c	18s	57	1.157	3
13:00	14:00	20s 86c	9s 67c	71	1.014	3
14:00	15:00	20s 17c	9s 33c	91	1.005	3
15:00	16:00	21s 8c	13s 67c	62	1.025	3
16:00	17:00	18s 92c	9s	83	0.937	3
17:00	18:00	14s 47c	6s 75c	67	0.743	4
18:00	19:00	15s 13c	7s 67c	91	0.849	3
19:00	20:00	15s 57c	6s 67c	79	0.858	3
20:00	21:00	16s 36c	7s 50c	61	0.875	4
21:00	22:00	13s 82c	6s 50c	47	0.741	2
22:00	23:00	21s 78c	11s	36	1.184	3
23:00	00:00	14s 56c	8s 75c	34	0.780	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/16645 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.004	1.122	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.953	1.163	3
03:00	04:00	1.014	0.848	3
04:00	05:00	1.114	0.892	4
05:00	06:00	1.026	0.829	2
06:00	07:00	1.033	0.854	3
07:00	08:00	1.031	0.809	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.897	5
09:00	10:00	1.036	0.872	5
10:00	11:00	1.008	0.990	5
11:00	12:00	1.003	1.087	5
12:00	13:00	1.016	0.933	4
13:00	14:00	0.999	0.998	4
14:00	15:00	0.976	1.036	4
15:00	16:00	0.955	0.965	4
16:00	17:00	1.020	1.051	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.118	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.135	3
20:00	21:00	1.016	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.987	0.957	3
22:00	23:00	1.027	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.013	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Shredder Operating Manual - Page 1?: On PvP Horde EU, Shredder Operating Manual - Page 1 is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 233% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.