How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Shredder Operating Manual - Page 3 is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 251% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

17:00 to 20:00 UTC

18:00 to 21:00 CET · index 0.712 · typical 19s 46c

Best hours to sell

13:00 to 16:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 CET · index 1.386 · typical 31s 17c

Spread after the 5% cut

+251%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Shredder Operating Manual - Page 3by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	21s 71c	11s 75c	53	0.807	4
01:00	02:00	24s 22c	15s 25c	75	0.775	4
02:00	03:00	32s 83c	12s 67c	102	0.946	3
03:00	04:00	50s 33c	14s 33c	55	1.537	3
04:00	05:00	21s 11c	16s 67c	78	0.905	3
05:00	06:00	58s 84c	40s	28	1.594	2
06:00	07:00	36s 27c	28s 33c	49	1.090	3
07:00	08:00	26s 50c	21s 25c	65	0.861	4
08:00	09:00	25s 33c	19s	67	0.836	4
09:00	10:00	25s 63c	16s	65	0.887	4
10:00	11:00	26s	14s	76	0.875	4
11:00	12:00	23s 35c	8s 75c	75	0.906	4
12:00	13:00	30s 41c	12s 25c	77	1.142	4
13:00	14:00	32s 41c	17s 75c	79	1.503	4
14:00	15:00	30s 52c	14s 50c	93	1.335	4
15:00	16:00	30s 58c	11s 50c	85	1.318	4
16:00	17:00	25s 25c	10s	91	0.982	3
17:00	18:00	20s 67c	7s 67c	124	0.791	3
18:00	19:00	13s 42c	7s 33c	125	0.499	3
19:00	20:00	24s 29c	10s 33c	118	0.848	3
20:00	21:00	24s 64c	6s	96	0.881	4
21:00	22:00	26s 42c	16s	68	0.884	2
22:00	23:00	23s 89c	14s 67c	60	0.920	3
23:00	00:00	21s 50c	10s 75c	58	0.878	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/16647 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Shredder Operating Manual - Page 3?: On PvP Horde EU, Shredder Operating Manual - Page 3 is cheapest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 251% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.