How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Double Link Tunic is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 Pacific) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 361% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

13:00 to 16:00 Pacific · index 0.619 · typical 99s 72c

Best hours to sell

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 Pacific · index 1.644 · typical 4g 32s 93c

Spread after the 5% cut

+361%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Double Link Tunicby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	48s 50c	44s 50c	13	0.668	2
01:00	17:00	1g 6s 33c	82s 67c	8	0.772	3
02:00	18:00	49s 50c	47s 50c	7	0.691	2
03:00	19:00	97s 25c	43s 50c	6	1.234	2
04:00	20:00	1g 22s 50c	1g 17s 50c	9	1.520	2
05:00	21:00	1g 27s	73s	12	1.360	3
06:00	22:00	1g 29s 72c	80s	13	1.469	3
07:00	23:00	96s	84s 75c	12	0.911	4
08:00	00:00	98s	84s 67c	15	0.738	3
09:00	01:00	98s	84s 67c	15	0.742	3
10:00	02:00	1g 29s 67c	1g 24s 67c	10	1.558	3
11:00	03:00	6g 69s 11c	2g 17s 67c	13	2.139	3
12:00	04:00	5g	5g	3	1.235	1
13:00	05:00	2g 84s 50c	2g 32s 50c	11	1.010	2
14:00	06:00	1g 84s 67c	1g 62s 33c	10	0.979	3
15:00	07:00	71s 50c	60s	14	0.860	2
16:00	08:00	1g 79s	1g 33s 33c	10	0.882	3
17:00	09:00	1g 79s 67c	1g 33s 33c	10	0.911	3
18:00	10:00	2g 5s	1g 42s	9	0.828	2
19:00	11:00	2g 7s 50c	1g 42s	9	0.882	2
20:00	12:00	58s 75c	47s	15	0.754	2
21:00	13:00	50s	49s	9	0.569	1
22:00	14:00	1g 42s 50c	1g 35s 50c	9	0.616	2
23:00	15:00	1g 6s 67c	83s	13	0.672	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/1717 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Double Link Tunic?: On PvP Alliance US, Double Link Tunic is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 Pacific) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 361% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.