How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Goblin Mail Leggings is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 76% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 0.817 · typical 22s 42c

Best hours to sell

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 1.150 · typical 40s 14c

Spread after the 5% cut

+76%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Goblin Mail Leggingsby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	31s 25c	25s 75c	10	0.891	4
01:00	02:00	29s	26s	9	0.846	4
02:00	03:00	24s	23s 67c	14	0.809	3
03:00	04:00	24s	23s	10	0.818	3
04:00	05:00	19s 25c	18s 50c	13	0.824	2
05:00	06:00	33s	33s	10	0.839	1
06:00	07:00	26s 50c	26s	11	0.870	2
07:00	08:00	23s 67c	22s 33c	9	0.852	3
08:00	09:00	23s 67c	22s 67c	8	0.859	3
09:00	10:00	23s 67c	23s 33c	7	0.875	3
10:00	11:00	36s 56c	36s 25c	5	0.966	4
11:00	12:00	40s 68c	40s 50c	4	1.146	4
12:00	13:00	40s 75c	40s 75c	4	1.168	4
13:00	14:00	39s	38s 75c	4	1.137	4
14:00	15:00	39s	35s 25c	6	1.141	4
15:00	16:00	29s	23s 67c	6	1.142	3
16:00	17:00	40s 33c	40s 33c	7	1.086	3
17:00	18:00	40s 33c	40s	8	1.098	3
18:00	19:00	26s 20c	25s 50c	8	1.054	2
19:00	20:00	26s	25s 50c	11	1.060	2
20:00	21:00	39s 83c	31s 67c	12	1.135	3
21:00	22:00	44s 50c	44s	8	1.181	2
22:00	23:00	25s 50c	19s	15	1.082	2
23:00	00:00	36s 92c	32s 67c	11	1.121	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/1943 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Goblin Mail Leggings?: On PvP Horde EU, Goblin Mail Leggings is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 76% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.