How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Pattern: Trapper's Leather Pants is cheapest from 23:00 to 02:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 CET) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 136% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

23:00 to 02:00 UTC

00:00 to 03:00 CET · index 0.624 · typical 71s 33c

Best hours to sell

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

11:00 to 14:00 CET · index 1.376 · typical 1g 52s 6c

Spread after the 5% cut

+136%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Pattern: Trapper's Leather Pantsby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	69s	69s	1	0.368	1
01:00	02:00	71s	49s 67c	12	0.694	3
02:00	03:00	72s	45s	17	0.917	2
03:00	04:00	69s 75c	46s 50c	15	0.889	2
04:00	05:00	62s 50c	60s	10	0.906	2
05:00	06:00	40s	30s	16	0.561	1
06:00	07:00	58s 33c	49s 67c	12	0.848	3
07:00	08:00	58s 83c	52s 33c	9	0.859	3
08:00	09:00	58s 80c	54s 25c	7	0.722	4
09:00	10:00	55s	54s 67c	9	0.822	3
10:00	11:00	1g 59s 50c	1g 32s 25c	4	1.394	4
11:00	12:00	2g 26s 67c	1g 92s 33c	7	1.704	3
12:00	13:00	70s	70s	14	1.031	1
13:00	14:00	1g 36s 33c	1g 29s 67c	10	1.179	3
14:00	15:00	85s	85s	11	1.165	2
15:00	16:00	85s	82s 50c	15	1.165	2
16:00	17:00	1g 29s 67c	88s 33c	17	1.179	3
17:00	18:00	84s 84c	52s 50c	19	1.166	2
18:00	19:00	84s 67c	62s	20	1.159	2
19:00	20:00	84s 40c	69s 50c	13	1.147	2
20:00	21:00	84s	67s	19	1.134	2
21:00	22:00	1g	78s	18	1.198	1
22:00	23:00	88s 44c	58s 67c	18	0.984	3
23:00	00:00	74s	64s 67c	9	0.809	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/252793 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Pattern: Trapper's Leather Pants?: On PvP Alliance EU, Pattern: Trapper's Leather Pants is cheapest from 23:00 to 02:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 CET) and dearest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 136% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.