How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Pattern: Wisdom's Leather Pants is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 61% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 CET · index 0.787 · typical 14s 80c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.342 · typical 23s 3c

Spread after the 5% cut

+61%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Pattern: Wisdom's Leather Pantsby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	50s	50s	3	1.108	1
01:00	02:00	34s	28s	12	1.176	3
02:00	03:00	18s 50c	16s	14	0.985	2
03:00	04:00	18s 50c	16s	15	1.004	2
04:00	05:00	16s	16s	12	0.991	2
05:00	06:00	35s 50c	34s 50c	12	1.019	2
06:00	07:00	25s 25c	24s 75c	10	0.977	4
07:00	08:00	25s 25c	25s	9	0.972	4
08:00	09:00	25s	24s 75c	10	0.933	4
09:00	10:00	25s	23s 75c	10	0.973	4
10:00	11:00	25s	23s 75c	12	0.975	4
11:00	12:00	25s	23s 50c	15	0.989	4
12:00	13:00	12s	10s	12	0.824	1
13:00	14:00	25s 33c	21s 33c	15	0.919	3
14:00	15:00	13s 50c	12s	13	0.861	2
15:00	16:00	13s 50c	11s	14	0.874	2
16:00	17:00	19s 50c	18s 25c	14	0.740	4
17:00	18:00	12s 90c	11s	13	0.837	2
18:00	19:00	12s	11s 50c	10	0.785	2
19:00	20:00	25s 78c	22s 67c	4	0.981	3
20:00	21:00	32s 75c	9s 50c	8	2.042	2
21:00	22:00	12s	12s	14	0.867	1
22:00	23:00	24s 33c	19s	20	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	27s 33c	27s	11	1.049	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/252797 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.123	1
01:00	02:00	1.013	1.062	4
02:00	03:00	1.056	1.023	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	1.017	2
04:00	05:00	1.041	1.000	3
05:00	06:00	1.055	0.794	2
06:00	07:00	1.023	0.843	5
07:00	08:00	1.042	0.789	5
08:00	09:00	1.026	0.838	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.882	5
10:00	11:00	1.031	0.913	5
11:00	12:00	0.983	1.040	5
12:00	13:00	0.977	0.873	2
13:00	14:00	0.985	1.003	3
14:00	15:00	0.982	1.004	3
15:00	16:00	0.975	1.048	3
16:00	17:00	0.966	1.074	4
17:00	18:00	0.962	1.087	3
18:00	19:00	0.952	1.128	2
19:00	20:00	1.002	1.025	3
20:00	21:00	0.962	1.153	2
21:00	22:00	0.954	1.066	1
22:00	23:00	0.961	1.143	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.075	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Pattern: Wisdom's Leather Pants?: On PvP Alliance EU, Pattern: Wisdom's Leather Pants is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 61% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.