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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde US, Recipe: Elixir of Minor Agility is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific) and dearest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 157% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 Pacific · index 0.768 · typical 5s 20c

Best hours to sell

17:00 to 20:00 UTC

09:00 to 12:00 Pacific · index 1.226 · typical 10s 97c

Spread after the 5% cut

+157%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

provisional

Provisional: the thinnest hour has 4 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days; 10 makes it settled.

Recipe: Elixir of Minor Agilityby hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:005s 88c4s0.949
01:006s 50c5s1.673
02:005s 50c4s 50c1.019
03:005s 17c3s 83c0.938
04:006s 20c2s 67c1.008
05:006s 15c4s0.906
06:005s 8c2s 83c0.820
07:006s 25c5s 50c0.832
08:008s 42c4s 80c1.025
09:008s 12c4s 33c1.103
10:006s 90c3s 83c1.108
11:009s4s 33c1.257
12:005s 58c3s 83c0.813
13:004s 63c4s 17c0.644
14:005s 39c4s 17c0.846
15:006s 93c4s 40c1.000
16:007s 8c4s 50c0.991
17:0011s 58c9s 83c1.299
18:0011s8s 50c1.228
19:0010s 33c7s 83c1.152
20:004s 67c3s 40c0.928
21:004s 52c4s0.858
22:005s 50c4s 75c0.791
23:004s 72c4s0.814

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.us/2553 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:001.0081.0295
01:001.0120.9874
02:001.0440.9496
03:001.0181.0206
04:000.9781.0766
05:000.9651.1044
06:000.9621.1316
07:001.0081.1194
08:001.0381.0475
09:001.0501.0086
10:000.9941.0346
11:000.9830.9986
12:000.9810.9846
13:000.9740.9686
14:000.9960.9486
15:001.0000.9345
16:001.0140.9086
17:001.0170.9496
18:001.0300.9886
19:000.9971.0326
20:000.9900.9265
21:000.9840.9545
22:000.9720.9234
23:000.9840.9845

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

When is the WoW Forever auction house cheapest during the day?
Across PvP Horde US, prices run cheapest around 06:00 UTC (22:00 Pacific), 3.8% under the daily average, and dearest around 09:00 UTC (01:00 Pacific), 5% over. The pattern is read from the hourly price of the market's largest positions over the last few weeks, each hour against the day around it.
What is the best time of day to buy and sell Recipe: Elixir of Minor Agility?
On PvP Horde US, Recipe: Elixir of Minor Agility is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific) and dearest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 157% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde US through the night fills the gaps.