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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde US, Rust-covered Blunderbuss is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 Pacific) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 11% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

08:00 to 11:00 Pacific · index 0.951 · typical 1s

Best hours to sell

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 Pacific · index 1.050 · typical 1s 17c

Spread after the 5% cut

+11%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

provisional

Provisional: the thinnest hour has 3 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days; 10 makes it settled.

Rust-covered Blunderbussby hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:001s1s0.980
01:001s1s0.987
02:001s 17c1s 17c1.009
03:001s 17c1s 17c1.009
04:001s 17c1s 17c1.016
05:001s 25c1s 25c1.032
06:001s 17c1s 17c1.028
07:001s1s1.002
08:001s 20c1s1.045
09:001s 17c1s1.042
10:001s 17c1s1.042
11:001s 17c1s1.046
12:001s 17c1s1.050
13:001s 17c1s1.054
14:001s1s0.946
15:001s1s1.002
16:001s1s0.953
17:001s1s0.947
18:001s1s0.952
19:001s1s0.957
20:001s1s0.957
21:001s1s0.963
22:001s1s1.002
23:001s1s0.977

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.us/2774 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9841.0175
01:001.0230.9784
02:001.0370.9376
03:001.0231.0126
04:000.9801.0596
05:000.9721.0884
06:000.9661.1276
07:001.0121.1204
08:001.0401.0605
09:001.0531.0226
10:000.9981.0646
11:000.9931.0376
12:000.9931.0336
13:000.9911.0186
14:000.9941.0116
15:000.9950.9995
16:000.9950.9726
17:000.9930.8735
18:001.0380.8775
19:001.0050.8985
20:000.9930.9365
21:000.9780.9635
22:000.9700.9214
23:000.9770.9795

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

When is the WoW Forever auction house cheapest during the day?
Across PvP Horde US, prices run cheapest around 06:00 UTC (22:00 Pacific), 3.4% under the daily average, and dearest around 09:00 UTC (01:00 Pacific), 5.3% over. The pattern is read from the hourly price of the market's largest positions over the last few weeks, each hour against the day around it.
What is the best time of day to buy and sell Rust-covered Blunderbuss?
On PvP Horde US, Rust-covered Blunderbuss is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 Pacific) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 11% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde US through the night fills the gaps.