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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Best hours to sell

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Spread after the 5% cut

Needs both windows.

Confidence

No pattern

No pattern yet: only 2 of the 24 hours of the day have been scanned on this market in the last 28 days. It fills in as players scan through the day.

Item 282094by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
01:007g 4s7g 4s1.166
03:005g 4s4g 4s0.834

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.us/282094 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9761.1146
01:000.9761.1735
02:001.0041.0054
03:000.9671.3084
04:000.9481.1415
05:000.9531.1675
06:000.9841.0224
07:000.9631.1284
08:000.9441.2164
09:001.0871.0624
10:000.9521.1013
11:000.9861.0164
12:001.0090.7794
13:000.9700.9023
14:000.9660.8875
15:000.9490.8324
16:000.9470.8662
17:001.5440.5372
18:000.9730.8595
19:000.9890.8736
20:000.9870.9116
21:000.9680.9724
22:000.9770.9904
23:000.9801.1393

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.