How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Mo'grosh Toothpick is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 11% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 0.861 · typical 22s 22c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.136 · typical 21s 91c

Spread after the 5% cut

+11%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Mo'grosh Toothpickby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	40s	25s	16	1.085	1
01:00	02:00	27s	21s 33c	15	1.090	3
02:00	03:00	20s 50c	18s	14	1.087	2
03:00	04:00	20s	18s	14	1.058	2
04:00	05:00	20s	17s 50c	14	1.082	2
05:00	06:00	21s 75c	19s 50c	8	0.934	2
06:00	07:00	19s 75c	18s 25c	9	0.976	4
07:00	08:00	20s	18s	8	0.994	4
08:00	09:00	19s 5c	18s	9	0.952	4
09:00	10:00	18s 75c	18s	8	0.935	4
10:00	11:00	18s 13c	17s 75c	11	0.909	4
11:00	12:00	19s 75c	19s 25c	10	0.785	4
12:00	13:00	28s 25c	19s 50c	11	0.893	2
13:00	14:00	18s 67c	17s 67c	17	0.904	3
14:00	15:00	29s 67c	29s	12	1.016	3
15:00	16:00	29s 33c	29s	13	0.998	3
16:00	17:00	27s 50c	26s 50c	14	1.000	4
17:00	18:00	29s 33c	29s	13	1.019	3
18:00	19:00	16s 50c	16s	17	0.881	2
19:00	20:00	24s 7c	23s 67c	11	0.908	3
20:00	21:00	20s 50c	20s	14	1.086	2
21:00	22:00	25s	24s	5	1.235	1
22:00	23:00	20s 22c	18s 33c	14	1.088	3
23:00	00:00	26s 67c	22s 33c	13	1.084	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/2822 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Mo'grosh Toothpick?: On PvP Alliance EU, Mo'grosh Toothpick is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 11% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.