How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Item 286994 is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 231% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 0.616 · typical 2g 25s 72c

Best hours to sell

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 CET · index 1.383 · typical 7g 84s

Spread after the 5% cut

+231%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Item 286994by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	7g 84s	7g 84s	2	1.371	2
02:00	03:00	7g 84s	7g 84s	2	1.384	2
03:00	04:00	7g 84s	7g 84s	1	1.395	2
04:00	05:00	2g 88s	2g 10s	9	1.059	1
05:00	06:00	9g 34s	9g 34s	1	1.525	1
06:00	07:00	5g 23s	5g 21s 33c	4	1.078	3
07:00	08:00	5g 23s	5g 22s 33c	3	1.069	3
08:00	09:00	2g 37s 27c	2g 2s 67c	3	0.636	3
09:00	10:00	2g 3s 33c	2g 2s 67c	3	0.569	3
10:00	11:00	3g	3g	4	0.744	1
11:00	12:00	3g	3g	4	0.776	1
12:00	13:00	3g	3g	4	0.803	1
13:00	14:00	3g	3g	4	0.803	1
14:00	15:00	3g	3g	2	0.835	1
15:00	16:00	3g	3g	2	0.874	1
16:00	17:00	1g 78s	1g 78s	2	0.426	3
17:00	18:00	1g 99s 17c	1g 97s 50c	2	0.547	2
18:00	19:00	2g 95s	2g 95s	4	0.928	1
19:00	20:00	5g 64s 50c	5g 64s 50c	2	1.300	2
20:00	21:00	4g 64s 50c	4g 64s	3	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	6g 74s	6g 34s	2	1.384	1
22:00	23:00	4g 64s	4g 37s	5	1.152	2
23:00	00:00	4g 64s	4g 37s	6	1.170	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/286994 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.986	1.122	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.051	4
02:00	03:00	1.049	1.009	3
03:00	04:00	1.033	0.997	2
04:00	05:00	1.043	1.023	3
05:00	06:00	1.061	0.800	2
06:00	07:00	1.027	0.870	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.815	5
08:00	09:00	1.025	0.880	5
09:00	10:00	1.007	0.934	5
10:00	11:00	1.037	0.813	4
11:00	12:00	0.990	0.899	4
12:00	13:00	0.983	0.871	2
13:00	14:00	0.988	0.987	3
14:00	15:00	0.986	1.009	3
15:00	16:00	0.979	1.063	3
16:00	17:00	0.970	1.089	4
17:00	18:00	0.960	1.114	3
18:00	19:00	0.960	1.154	2
19:00	20:00	0.991	1.039	3
20:00	21:00	0.955	1.159	2
21:00	22:00	0.964	1.073	1
22:00	23:00	0.955	1.144	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.085	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Item 286994?: On PvP Alliance EU, Item 286994 is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 231% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.