How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Item 287004 is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 69% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

09:00 to 12:00 CET · index 0.930 · typical 6g 33s 70c

Best hours to sell

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 1.121 · typical 9g 25s 11c

Spread after the 5% cut

+69%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Item 287004by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	9g 59s 50c	7g 10s	6	1.110	2
01:00	02:00	9g 59s 50c	7g 10s	8	1.137	2
02:00	03:00	8g 56s 33c	6g 90s	5	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	7g 4s 67c	6g 96s 67c	3	0.999	3
04:00	05:00	7g 10s	7g 10s	9	0.956	2
05:00	06:00	6g 50s	6g 50s	1	0.970	1
06:00	07:00	8g 35s	8g 35s	3	0.944	2
07:00	08:00	7g 3s 33c	6g 89s 67c	4	0.948	3
08:00	09:00	6g 94s 44c	5g 89s 67c	4	0.946	3
09:00	10:00	6g 46s 67c	5g 16s 33c	4	0.919	3
10:00	11:00	5g 60s	4g 49s 50c	6	0.925	2
11:00	12:00	5g 60s	4g 50s	6	0.950	2
12:00	13:00	5g 26s 67c	4g	6	0.933	2
13:00	14:00	4g 99s 50c	4g 25s	7	0.909	2
14:00	15:00	5g 10s	4g 60s	6	0.963	2
15:00	16:00	5g 10s	4g 59s 50c	6	0.993	2
16:00	17:00	4g 59s 92c	3g 50s	7	0.933	2
17:00	18:00	7g 34s 45c	3g 99s	4	0.869	2
18:00	19:00	9g 99s 50c	9g 49s	5	1.086	2
19:00	20:00	9g 99s 5c	9g 2s	5	1.091	2
20:00	21:00	10g 41s	9g 59s 50c	4	1.182	2
21:00	22:00	4g 74s 56c	4g	5	0.932	1
22:00	23:00	9g 80s 67c	7g	6	1.098	2
23:00	00:00	9g 65s 50c	7g 10s	6	1.094	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/287004 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.003	1.115	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.111	4
02:00	03:00	0.958	1.112	3
03:00	04:00	1.031	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.116	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.024	0.828	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.849	3
07:00	08:00	1.021	0.742	4
08:00	09:00	1.003	0.824	5
09:00	10:00	1.037	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.011	0.891	5
11:00	12:00	1.010	0.943	5
12:00	13:00	1.003	1.006	5
13:00	14:00	1.001	1.083	5
14:00	15:00	0.978	1.165	5
15:00	16:00	0.958	1.156	5
16:00	17:00	1.003	1.209	5
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.061	4
18:00	19:00	0.931	1.104	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.132	3
20:00	21:00	1.008	1.045	4
21:00	22:00	0.997	0.955	3
22:00	23:00	1.027	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.004	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Item 287004?: On PvP Horde EU, Item 287004 is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 69% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.