How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Keller's Girdle is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 74% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 0.878 · typical 52s 3c

Best hours to sell

17:00 to 20:00 UTC

18:00 to 21:00 CET · index 1.162 · typical 82s 52c

Spread after the 5% cut

+74%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Keller's Girdleby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g	1g	11	0.895	1
01:00	02:00	69s 40c	65s 33c	19	1.026	3
02:00	03:00	49s 50c	46s	26	1.023	2
03:00	04:00	49s 25c	41s	29	1.029	2
04:00	05:00	38s	35s	24	1.007	2
05:00	06:00	78s	68s	17	0.994	2
06:00	07:00	54s 50c	51s 75c	17	0.984	4
07:00	08:00	53s 75c	53s	17	0.973	4
08:00	09:00	53s 75c	49s	19	1.003	4
09:00	10:00	52s 25c	49s 50c	19	0.987	4
10:00	11:00	52s	49s	18	0.998	4
11:00	12:00	55s 11c	44s 67c	22	0.971	3
12:00	13:00	49s 84c	48s 50c	8	0.715	2
13:00	14:00	51s 13c	42s	27	0.947	3
14:00	15:00	44s	41s 50c	23	1.012	2
15:00	16:00	43s	40s 50c	25	0.995	2
16:00	17:00	48s 8c	41s 33c	26	0.935	3
17:00	18:00	1g 3s	1g 1s 33c	14	1.216	3
18:00	19:00	42s	39s 50c	27	1.001	2
19:00	20:00	1g 2s 56c	98s	13	1.268	3
20:00	21:00	42s	33s 50c	20	1.025	2
21:00	22:00	45s 80c	42s	18	1.007	1
22:00	23:00	39s 55c	30s 33c	19	0.884	3
23:00	00:00	74s 11c	57s 67c	16	1.102	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/2911 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Keller's Girdle?: On PvP Alliance EU, Keller's Girdle is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 17:00 to 20:00 UTC (18:00 to 21:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 74% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.