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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Weighted Throwing Axe is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific) and dearest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 Pacific). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

Item

Best hours to buy

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 Pacific · index 1.009 · typical 15s

Best hours to sell

05:00 to 08:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 Pacific · index 1.009 · typical 15s

Spread after the 5% cut

-5%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Weighted Throwing Axeby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:0015s15s1.009
01:0015s15s1.009
02:0015s15s1.009
03:0015s15s1.009
04:0015s15s1.009
05:0015s15s1.009
06:0015s15s1.009
07:0015s15s1.009
10:0015s15s1.000
17:0015s15s1.012
20:0013s 50c12s0.909
23:0015s15s1.009

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/3131 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:001.0250.9594
01:001.0820.8403
02:000.9931.0613
03:001.0111.0163
04:000.9951.0744
05:001.0001.0925
06:001.0201.1434
07:001.0011.1945
08:001.0111.1164
09:000.9871.1334
10:001.0141.0595
11:000.9991.0903
12:001.0140.9872
13:000.9900.9843
14:000.9950.9844
15:000.9730.9633
16:000.9720.9384
17:000.9740.8884
18:000.9770.9353
19:000.9930.9023
20:000.9840.9133
21:000.9920.8392
22:000.9980.9273
23:001.0030.9624

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Weighted Throwing Axe?
On PvP Alliance US, Weighted Throwing Axe is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific) and dearest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 Pacific). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.