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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Horde US, Tattered Cloth Belt is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.

Current market: Normal Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

00:00 to 03:00 Pacific · index 1.000 · typical 4s

Best hours to sell

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

00:00 to 03:00 Pacific · index 1.000 · typical 4s

Spread after the 5% cut

-5%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Tattered Cloth Beltby hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:001s1s1.000
05:001s1s1.000
06:001s1s1.000
08:001s1s1.000
09:005s 50c5s 50c1.000
10:005s 50c5s 50c1.000
11:001s1s1.000
14:005s 50c5s 50c1.000
15:0010s10s1.000
18:001s1s1.000
19:001s1s1.000
20:001s1s1.000
21:001s1s1.000
22:001s1s1.000

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.us/3595 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9821.0414
01:000.9841.0283
02:000.9721.0514
03:001.0021.0622
04:000.9631.1404
05:000.9671.1654
06:000.9981.0763
07:000.9821.2113
08:000.9721.2333
09:001.2420.9963
10:001.0111.1332
11:001.0260.9603
12:000.9820.9763
13:001.0180.8762
14:000.9910.9485
15:000.9840.9743
16:000.9950.8191
17:000.9940.8631
18:000.9670.9143
19:000.9900.8124
20:001.0080.7434
21:000.9900.9503
22:000.9910.9873
23:000.9881.0442

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Tattered Cloth Belt?
On Normal Horde US, Tattered Cloth Belt is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde US through the night fills the gaps.