How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Crocolisk Gumbo is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 84% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 0.943 · typical 2s 2c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 1.103 · typical 3s 76c

Spread after the 5% cut

+84%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Crocolisk Gumboby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	6s	5s 50c	4	1.160	1
01:00	02:00	3s 42c	3s 6c	23	1.025	3
02:00	03:00	2s 15c	1s 81c	29	0.983	2
03:00	04:00	2s 15c	1s 80c	27	0.996	2
04:00	05:00	1s 45c	1s 20c	31	0.966	2
05:00	06:00	3s 88c	3s 71c	19	1.046	2
06:00	07:00	2s 49c	2s 47c	23	0.936	4
07:00	08:00	2s 49c	2s 47c	19	0.943	4
08:00	09:00	2s 48c	2s 47c	18	0.953	4
09:00	10:00	2s 48c	2s 21c	14	0.957	4
10:00	11:00	2s 49c	1s 92c	15	0.981	4
11:00	12:00	2s 29c	2s 22c	15	0.894	3
12:00	13:00	1s 47c	1s 40c	12	1.010	1
13:00	14:00	2s 29c	2s 19c	20	0.924	3
14:00	15:00	1s 84c	1s 78c	27	1.008	2
15:00	16:00	1s 84c	1s 81c	27	1.023	2
16:00	17:00	2s 22c	2s 21c	18	0.945	3
17:00	18:00	1s 82c	1s 60c	29	1.033	2
18:00	19:00	1s 82c	1s 50c	30	1.049	2
19:00	20:00	1s 74c	1s 49c	22	1.026	2
20:00	21:00	1s 50c	1s 50c	26	0.913	2
21:00	22:00	2s 1c	1s 50c	19	1.079	1
22:00	23:00	2s 14c	1s 98c	20	1.055	3
23:00	00:00	3s 13c	2s 66c	18	1.095	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/3664 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Crocolisk Gumbo?: On PvP Alliance EU, Crocolisk Gumbo is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 84% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.