How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Tender Crocolisk Meat is cheapest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 402% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

05:00 to 08:00 UTC

06:00 to 09:00 CET · index 0.499 · typical 1s 74c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.524 · typical 6s 75c

Spread after the 5% cut

+402%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Tender Crocolisk Meatby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	2s 1c	1s 47c	191	0.833	4
01:00	02:00	1s 75c	1s 48c	200	0.626	4
02:00	03:00	1s 98c	1s 61c	252	0.635	3
03:00	04:00	1s 69c	1s 31c	208	0.650	3
04:00	05:00	1s 38c	97c	102	0.811	3
05:00	06:00	2s	1s 50c	105	0.376	2
06:00	07:00	1s 73c	1s 8c	144	0.543	3
07:00	08:00	1s 48c	1s 25c	102	0.577	4
08:00	09:00	1s 46c	1s 31c	111	0.572	4
09:00	10:00	1s 46c	1s 19c	81	0.626	4
10:00	11:00	1s 59c	1s 2c	77	0.805	4
11:00	12:00	2s 21c	1s 42c	135	1.452	3
12:00	13:00	2s 70c	2s 36c	164	1.095	4
13:00	14:00	2s 71c	2s 32c	236	1.067	4
14:00	15:00	8s 53c	8s 14c	271	1.761	4
15:00	16:00	1s 54c	1s 25c	407	0.984	3
16:00	17:00	7s 66c	6s 55c	354	1.786	4
17:00	18:00	8s 68c	2s 34c	269	1.609	3
18:00	19:00	1s 42c	1s 10c	408	0.835	2
19:00	20:00	1s 35c	1s	416	0.816	2
20:00	21:00	3s 18c	2s 25c	268	1.085	3
21:00	22:00	14s 91c	14s 75c	226	2.190	2
22:00	23:00	2s 16c	85c	348	1.296	2
23:00	00:00	2s 83c	1s 95c	242	0.970	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/3667 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Tender Crocolisk Meat?: On PvP Horde EU, Tender Crocolisk Meat is cheapest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 402% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.