How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Soothing Spices is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 327% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 0.592 · typical 1s 95c

Best hours to sell

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 1.805 · typical 7s 58c

Spread after the 5% cut

+327%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Soothing Spicesby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	4s 95c	4s 86c	17	0.964	4
01:00	02:00	4s 86c	4s 86c	13	0.934	4
02:00	03:00	8s 32c	8s 31c	18	1.582	3
03:00	04:00	10s 46c	10s 45c	19	2.207	3
04:00	05:00	3s 96c	2s 57c	13	1.625	3
05:00	06:00	7s 98c	7s 98c	7	1.299	2
06:00	07:00	5s 98c	5s 97c	15	1.223	3
07:00	08:00	6s 25c	4s 22c	16	1.379	4
08:00	09:00	5s 56c	4s 10c	20	1.295	4
09:00	10:00	6s 31c	2s 66c	26	1.292	3
10:00	11:00	4s 3c	3s 18c	22	1.075	4
11:00	12:00	3s 25c	3s 1c	24	0.799	4
12:00	13:00	3s 13c	1s 74c	23	0.726	4
13:00	14:00	3s 5c	1s 64c	40	0.713	3
14:00	15:00	2s 62c	2s 41c	42	0.616	3
15:00	16:00	2s 47c	2s 14c	40	0.564	3
16:00	17:00	1s 74c	1s 48c	20	0.613	4
17:00	18:00	1s 65c	1s 44c	19	0.598	4
18:00	19:00	1s 64c	1s 57c	24	0.711	3
19:00	20:00	1s 62c	1s 56c	24	0.714	3
20:00	21:00	1s 45c	1s 14c	17	0.684	3
21:00	22:00	1s 22c	1s 22c	7	0.753	2
22:00	23:00	1s 45c	1s 14c	15	0.701	3
23:00	00:00	4s 87c	4s 61c	12	0.933	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/3713 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.997	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.962	1.101	4
02:00	03:00	0.959	1.113	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.831	3
04:00	05:00	1.115	0.847	4
05:00	06:00	1.027	0.824	2
06:00	07:00	1.038	0.838	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.756	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.842	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.826	5
10:00	11:00	1.014	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.979	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.053	5
13:00	14:00	0.996	1.155	5
14:00	15:00	0.966	1.242	5
15:00	16:00	0.950	0.973	4
16:00	17:00	1.011	1.054	4
17:00	18:00	0.952	1.085	4
18:00	19:00	0.939	1.116	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.143	3
20:00	21:00	1.008	1.051	4
21:00	22:00	0.996	0.945	3
22:00	23:00	1.029	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.006	1.076	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Soothing Spices?: On PvP Horde EU, Soothing Spices is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 327% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.