How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Recipe: Tasty Lion Steak is cheapest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 194% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 0.842 · typical 24s 41c

Best hours to sell

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 1.179 · typical 54s 97c

Spread after the 5% cut

+194%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Recipe: Tasty Lion Steakby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	50s 50c	39s	58	0.833	2
02:00	03:00	50s 50c	34s 50c	55	0.947	2
03:00	04:00	44s 75c	34s 50c	54	0.906	2
04:00	05:00	8s	8s	65	0.868	2
05:00	06:00	69s	60s	25	1.155	1
06:00	07:00	28s 33c	24s 33c	44	1.016	3
07:00	08:00	26s 50c	25s	40	1.011	3
08:00	09:00	68s 88c	68s 50c	33	1.067	4
09:00	10:00	68s 75c	67s 50c	31	1.085	4
10:00	11:00	68s 75c	67s	35	1.130	4
11:00	12:00	68s 25c	65s 50c	36	1.156	4
12:00	13:00	9s	6s	36	1.186	1
13:00	14:00	87s 67c	78s 67c	40	1.195	3
14:00	15:00	31s	16s	67	1.116	2
15:00	16:00	29s 50c	16s	71	1.139	2
16:00	17:00	45s 50c	42s 67c	51	0.856	3
17:00	18:00	18s 30c	13s	78	0.892	2
18:00	19:00	16s	9s 50c	87	0.858	2
19:00	20:00	21s	8s 50c	74	1.060	2
20:00	21:00	13s 50c	8s	90	0.848	2
21:00	22:00	19s 40c	9s	103	0.746	1
22:00	23:00	40s 33c	36s 33c	65	0.932	3
23:00	00:00	14s	8s	69	0.997	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/3736 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.127	1
01:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	4
02:00	03:00	1.053	1.020	3
03:00	04:00	1.036	1.010	2
04:00	05:00	1.039	1.003	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.795	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.842	5
07:00	08:00	1.044	0.792	5
08:00	09:00	1.023	0.842	5
09:00	10:00	1.014	0.884	5
10:00	11:00	1.029	0.915	5
11:00	12:00	0.979	1.027	5
12:00	13:00	0.978	0.871	2
13:00	14:00	0.986	1.002	3
14:00	15:00	0.978	1.003	3
15:00	16:00	0.974	1.051	3
16:00	17:00	0.966	1.078	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.091	3
18:00	19:00	0.956	1.129	2
19:00	20:00	1.002	1.019	3
20:00	21:00	0.968	1.156	2
21:00	22:00	0.951	1.064	1
22:00	23:00	0.959	1.146	3
23:00	00:00	1.007	1.075	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Recipe: Tasty Lion Steak?: On PvP Alliance EU, Recipe: Tasty Lion Steak is cheapest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET) and dearest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 194% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.