How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Plans: Golden Scale Leggings is cheapest from 07:00 to 10:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 16% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

07:00 to 10:00 UTC

08:00 to 11:00 CET · index 0.814 · typical 29s 17c

Best hours to sell

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 1.495 · typical 33s 60c

Spread after the 5% cut

+16%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Plans: Golden Scale Leggingsby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	18s	14s	23	0.985	3
01:00	02:00	18s	14s 33c	22	1.023	3
02:00	03:00	16s 83c	10s	21	1.023	3
03:00	04:00	16s	10s	18	0.968	3
04:00	05:00	9s	8s 50c	14	0.794	2
05:00	06:00	25s	12s	20	1.058	1
06:00	07:00	44s 67c	40s 33c	9	1.137	3
07:00	08:00	31s 50c	27s 25c	7	0.832	4
08:00	09:00	27s 50c	27s 50c	9	0.792	4
09:00	10:00	28s 50c	27s 50c	9	0.817	4
10:00	11:00	32s 50c	32s	11	0.884	4
11:00	12:00	32s 50c	31s 25c	11	0.897	4
12:00	13:00	27s 33c	24s 25c	14	0.845	4
13:00	14:00	24s 91c	20s 50c	16	0.825	4
14:00	15:00	24s 86c	20s 25c	18	0.842	4
15:00	16:00	26s 56c	8s 67c	18	1.582	3
16:00	17:00	49s 56c	23s	24	1.981	4
17:00	18:00	24s 67c	21s	24	0.923	3
18:00	19:00	9s	9s	22	0.924	2
19:00	20:00	9s	9s	20	0.952	2
20:00	21:00	21s	18s	21	0.927	3
21:00	22:00	32s	32s	13	1.073	2
22:00	23:00	9s	9s	22	0.970	2
23:00	00:00	18s	14s 33c	25	0.946	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/3872 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Plans: Golden Scale Leggings?: On PvP Horde EU, Plans: Golden Scale Leggings is cheapest from 07:00 to 10:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 16% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.