How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Insignia Cap is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 98% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 0.939 · typical 1g 85s 33c

Best hours to sell

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 CET · index 1.183 · typical 3g 49s

Spread after the 5% cut

+98%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Insignia Capby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	3g 49s	3g 5s 50c	9	1.127	2
02:00	03:00	3g 49s	3g 48s 50c	11	1.199	2
03:00	04:00	3g 49s	2g 10s	12	1.224	2
04:00	05:00	1g 49s 50c	1g 43s 50c	21	0.929	2
05:00	06:00	2g 99s	2g 50s	5	0.977	1
06:00	07:00	1g 83s	1g 79s 33c	12	0.927	3
07:00	08:00	1g 82s 67c	1g 59s 67c	10	0.952	3
08:00	09:00	1g 79s 33c	1g 59s 67c	12	0.941	3
09:00	10:00	1g 79s 33c	1g 52s 67c	11	0.954	3
10:00	11:00	1g 71s 17c	1g 52s	12	0.926	3
11:00	12:00	2g 5s 50c	1g 98s	16	0.938	2
12:00	13:00	1g 67s	1g 40s	25	0.983	1
13:00	14:00	3g 79s 33c	3g 68s 67c	13	1.014	3
14:00	15:00	1g 98s	1g 72s 50c	21	0.945	2
15:00	16:00	1g 96s 75c	1g 57s	22	0.970	2
16:00	17:00	3g 78s 17c	3g 60s 33c	14	1.104	3
17:00	18:00	1g 95s 50c	1g 69s	22	1.015	2
18:00	19:00	1g 95s 17c	1g 35s	20	1.033	2
19:00	20:00	1g 79s 30c	1g 30s	16	0.951	2
20:00	21:00	1g 71s 79c	1g 61s	17	0.923	2
21:00	22:00	2g 23s 40c	2g	6	1.036	1
22:00	23:00	2g 73s 56c	2g 51s 33c	12	1.012	3
23:00	00:00	1g 58s 50c	1g 49s 50c	18	0.923	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/4052 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Insignia Cap?: On PvP Alliance EU, Insignia Cap is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 98% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.