How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Lesser Bloodstone Ore is cheapest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

13:00 to 16:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 CET · index 0.787 · typical 16s 18c

Best hours to sell

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 1.250 · typical 16s

Spread after the 5% cut

-1%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Lesser Bloodstone Oreby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	20s 37c	14s 50c	92	1.615	2
01:00	02:00	14s 83c	13s 50c	119	0.852	2
02:00	03:00	14s 56c	13s 50c	117	0.832	2
03:00	04:00	14s 74c	8s 49c	57	0.957	2
04:00	05:00	18s 71c	7s 87c	87	1.961	2
06:00	07:00	20s	14s	51	1.066	1
07:00	08:00	19s 30c	16s 24c	56	0.936	3
08:00	09:00	16s 91c	15s 23c	65	0.792	3
09:00	10:00	16s 33c	14s 87c	60	0.843	3
10:00	11:00	15s 82c	13s 82c	70	0.797	3
11:00	12:00	16s 21c	13s 81c	73	0.811	3
12:00	13:00	16s 76c	13s 52c	75	0.847	3
13:00	14:00	15s 6c	13s 51c	90	0.782	3
14:00	15:00	13s 85c	13s 28c	100	0.759	3
15:00	16:00	19s 62c	19s 40c	63	0.819	2
16:00	17:00	25s 63c	18s 28c	61	1.537	2
17:00	18:00	19s 59c	18s 28c	75	0.866	2
18:00	19:00	18s 70c	18s 28c	89	0.838	2
19:00	20:00	18s 40c	16s	94	0.858	2
20:00	21:00	31s 55c	17s	65	1.558	2
21:00	22:00	4s 67c	2s 98c	145	0.777	1
22:00	23:00	18s 27c	14s 56c	98	0.987	2
23:00	00:00	17s 47c	14s 55c	107	0.910	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/4278 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.997	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.962	1.101	4
02:00	03:00	0.959	1.113	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.831	3
04:00	05:00	1.115	0.847	4
05:00	06:00	1.027	0.824	2
06:00	07:00	1.038	0.838	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.756	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.842	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.826	5
10:00	11:00	1.014	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.979	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.053	5
13:00	14:00	0.996	1.155	5
14:00	15:00	0.966	1.242	5
15:00	16:00	0.950	0.973	4
16:00	17:00	1.011	1.054	4
17:00	18:00	0.952	1.085	4
18:00	19:00	0.939	1.116	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.143	3
20:00	21:00	1.008	1.051	4
21:00	22:00	0.996	0.945	3
22:00	23:00	1.029	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.006	1.076	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Lesser Bloodstone Ore?: On PvP Horde EU, Lesser Bloodstone Ore is cheapest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.