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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On RP Alliance US, Pattern: Barbaric Gloves is cheapest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 Pacific) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 108% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: RP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/rp/alliance/us

Item

Best hours to buy

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

19:00 to 22:00 Pacific · index 0.947 · typical 44s

Best hours to sell

14:00 to 17:00 UTC

06:00 to 09:00 Pacific · index 1.096 · typical 82s 17c

Spread after the 5% cut

+108%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Pattern: Barbaric Glovesby hour · RP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:0017s16s0.972
01:0017s16s0.972
03:0017s17s0.974
04:0094s78s1.030
05:0021s17s 50c0.836
13:0018s18s0.866
14:001g75s1.184
15:001g75s1.184
16:0046s 50c33s 50c0.918
17:0084s84s1.000
18:001g 12s 50c99s 50c1.098
19:0020s18s1.144
20:0099s 50c99s0.892
21:001g 50s1g 50s1.011
23:0072s71s 33c0.919

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.rp.alliance.us/4297 on the API.

The whole market by hour · RP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9771.1361
01:000.9721.1941
02:001.1000.7231
03:000.9661.2531
04:000.9861.1352
05:000.9631.2972
11:001.1260.9351
13:001.0210.8501
14:000.9930.9741
15:000.9820.9181
16:000.9680.8642
17:001.0120.8162
18:000.9900.9203
19:000.9800.8471
20:000.9900.9662
21:000.9881.0441
23:000.9861.1283

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Pattern: Barbaric Gloves?
On RP Alliance US, Pattern: Barbaric Gloves is cheapest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 Pacific) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 108% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning RP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.