How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Schematic: Goblin Land Mine is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 208% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

13:00 to 16:00 CET · index 0.883 · typical 53s 42c

Best hours to sell

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

05:00 to 08:00 CET · index 1.336 · typical 1g 55s 28c

Spread after the 5% cut

+208%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Schematic: Goblin Land Mineby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g 10s 81c	1g 8s 75c	32	1.033	4
01:00	02:00	1g 10s	1g 8s 75c	39	1.017	4
02:00	03:00	43s 33c	39s 33c	49	0.980	3
03:00	04:00	42s 67c	33s 67c	33	0.993	3
04:00	05:00	1g 21s	1g 13s	19	1.432	3
05:00	06:00	2g 3s 50c	1g 91s	11	1.362	2
06:00	07:00	1g 41s 33c	1g 32s 67c	18	1.213	3
07:00	08:00	39s 92c	29s	24	1.062	3
08:00	09:00	38s 56c	29s	26	1.026	3
09:00	10:00	31s 17c	29s	21	0.929	3
10:00	11:00	29s	28s 33c	25	0.906	3
11:00	12:00	29s	26s	28	0.924	3
12:00	13:00	46s 50c	40s 75c	24	0.859	4
13:00	14:00	57s 8c	51s 67c	25	0.874	3
14:00	15:00	56s 67c	51s 33c	26	0.916	3
15:00	16:00	35s 50c	27s	40	1.058	2
16:00	17:00	49s 58c	43s 67c	26	0.936	3
17:00	18:00	51s 7c	45s 67c	30	0.889	3
18:00	19:00	27s 50c	19s 50c	50	0.957	2
19:00	20:00	22s 5c	17s	53	0.844	2
20:00	21:00	44s 65c	40s	32	0.876	3
21:00	22:00	56s 50c	56s	38	1.026	2
22:00	23:00	1g 15s 83c	1g 13s 67c	41	0.916	3
23:00	00:00	1g 11s	1g 9s 25c	33	0.974	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/4416 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.005	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.119	4
02:00	03:00	0.949	1.148	3
03:00	04:00	1.010	0.846	3
04:00	05:00	1.116	0.870	4
05:00	06:00	1.025	0.832	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.857	3
07:00	08:00	1.025	0.789	4
08:00	09:00	0.996	0.878	5
09:00	10:00	1.033	0.848	5
10:00	11:00	1.007	0.958	5
11:00	12:00	1.007	1.041	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.122	5
13:00	14:00	1.001	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.974	1.034	4
15:00	16:00	0.953	0.970	4
16:00	17:00	1.030	1.046	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.084	4
18:00	19:00	0.928	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.021	1.047	4
21:00	22:00	1.000	0.959	3
22:00	23:00	1.037	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.018	1.067	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Schematic: Goblin Land Mine?: On PvP Horde EU, Schematic: Goblin Land Mine is cheapest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 208% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.