How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Horde EU, Bruiser Club is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 48% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 CET · index 0.850 · typical 24s 97c

Best hours to sell

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

22:00 to 01:00 CET · index 1.187 · typical 37s 50c

Spread after the 5% cut

+48%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Bruiser Clubby hour · Normal Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	25s	25s	3	0.927	1
01:00	02:00	26s 17c	26s	6	0.853	2
02:00	03:00	24s 75c	24s	6	0.848	2
03:00	04:00	24s	22s 25c	4	0.848	4
04:00	05:00	24s 50c	24s	4	0.880	2
05:00	06:00	33s 33c	32s 67c	3	0.961	3
06:00	07:00	31s 63c	30s	3	0.982	4
07:00	08:00	24s 50c	23s 50c	3	0.970	2
08:00	09:00	30s 80c	29s 60c	3	0.984	5
09:00	10:00	31s 25c	30s	4	0.972	4
10:00	11:00	34s 33c	34s	2	0.976	3
11:00	12:00	37s 50c	37s	3	0.966	2
12:00	13:00	33s 67c	33s 67c	3	0.949	3
13:00	14:00	35s	35s	3	1.055	4
14:00	15:00	31s 88c	31s 50c	2	0.987	4
15:00	16:00	32s 40c	27s 20c	3	1.048	5
16:00	17:00	34s 33c	29s 33c	3	1.014	3
17:00	18:00	39s	30s 50c	5	1.112	2
18:00	19:00	32s 8c	28s 33c	3	0.972	3
19:00	20:00	33s	33s	1	1.201	1
20:00	21:00	29s	29s	4	0.934	2
21:00	22:00	36s 67c	36s 67c	1	1.236	3
22:00	23:00	41s 50c	37s 50c	2	1.274	2
23:00	00:00	34s 33c	34s 33c	3	1.051	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.eu/4439 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.966	1.219	1
01:00	02:00	0.990	0.982	3
02:00	03:00	0.980	1.013	3
03:00	04:00	1.065	0.889	4
04:00	05:00	1.010	0.871	4
05:00	06:00	1.020	0.861	4
06:00	07:00	1.040	0.818	6
07:00	08:00	1.006	0.926	3
08:00	09:00	1.037	0.858	6
09:00	10:00	1.048	0.932	6
10:00	11:00	1.028	0.829	5
11:00	12:00	1.006	0.904	2
12:00	13:00	0.996	0.951	5
13:00	14:00	1.054	0.962	5
14:00	15:00	0.980	1.023	4
15:00	16:00	0.982	1.083	5
16:00	17:00	1.039	1.008	4
17:00	18:00	0.965	1.025	4
18:00	19:00	0.945	1.151	3
19:00	20:00	0.987	1.012	3
20:00	21:00	0.957	1.173	4
21:00	22:00	0.968	1.142	3
22:00	23:00	0.963	1.190	3
23:00	00:00	0.966	1.178	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Bruiser Club?: On Normal Horde EU, Bruiser Club is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 48% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.