How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Flesh Carver is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 29% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 0.882 · typical 63s 78c

Best hours to sell

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

13:00 to 16:00 CET · index 1.122 · typical 83s 11c

Spread after the 5% cut

+29%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Flesh Carverby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	65s 75c	65s 25c	4	0.917	4
01:00	02:00	65s 25c	65s	5	0.908	4
02:00	03:00	63s 67c	63s 33c	5	0.867	3
03:00	04:00	75s 50c	75s	6	0.989	2
04:00	05:00	61s 33c	59s 33c	4	0.887	3
05:00	06:00	73s 50c	71s	4	0.986	2
06:00	07:00	73s 50c	71s 67c	3	0.995	3
07:00	08:00	73s 33c	73s	2	0.992	3
08:00	09:00	73s 33c	72s 67c	2	0.987	3
09:00	10:00	73s 88c	70s	4	0.991	2
10:00	11:00	57s 50c	56s 75c	3	0.854	4
11:00	12:00	59s 95c	57s 33c	5	0.801	3
12:00	13:00	83s	80s	4	1.115	3
13:00	14:00	83s	83s	5	1.120	3
14:00	15:00	83s 33c	81s	4	1.131	3
15:00	16:00	75s	73s 50c	4	1.048	2
16:00	17:00	83s 33c	80s	4	1.141	3
17:00	18:00	80s	80s	5	1.097	3
18:00	19:00	71s 67c	71s 33c	4	1.036	3
19:00	20:00	70s 60c	54s 67c	4	1.022	3
20:00	21:00	77s	74s 50c	4	1.078	4
21:00	22:00	52s	35s 50c	4	0.790	2
22:00	23:00	73s 75c	67s	7	1.068	2
23:00	00:00	81s 75c	76s 75c	5	1.178	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/4445 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.124	4
01:00	02:00	0.956	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.950	1.159	3
03:00	04:00	1.018	0.842	3
04:00	05:00	1.120	0.898	4
05:00	06:00	1.022	0.833	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.853	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.814	4
08:00	09:00	0.997	0.903	5
09:00	10:00	1.030	0.869	5
10:00	11:00	0.997	1.008	5
11:00	12:00	1.001	1.065	5
12:00	13:00	1.022	0.934	4
13:00	14:00	1.004	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.985	1.028	4
15:00	16:00	0.964	0.963	4
16:00	17:00	1.023	1.044	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.931	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.019	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.985	0.962	3
22:00	23:00	1.032	1.117	3
23:00	00:00	1.014	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Flesh Carver?: On PvP Horde EU, Flesh Carver is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 29% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.