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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde US, Tough Hunk of Bread is cheapest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 Pacific) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 220% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

05:00 to 08:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 Pacific · index 0.763 · typical 4c

Best hours to sell

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 Pacific · index 1.264 · typical 12c

Spread after the 5% cut

+220%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

provisional

Provisional: the thinnest hour has 4 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days; 10 makes it settled.

Tough Hunk of Breadby hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:004c3c0.911
01:0028c27c1.951
02:005c4c0.931
03:005c4c0.881
04:005c4c0.931
05:006c5c0.739
06:005c4c0.877
07:002c2c0.674
08:004c3c0.766
09:005c3c0.947
10:006c4c0.932
11:0010c4c1.708
12:005c4c0.978
13:005c4c0.934
14:004c4c0.920
15:004c4c1.013
16:004c4c0.965
17:004c4c0.990
18:004c4c1.002
19:004c4c1.028
20:004c4c1.007
21:004c4c0.996
22:004c2c1.010
23:004c3c0.909

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.us/4540 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9891.0025
01:001.0380.9554
02:001.0270.9366
03:001.0271.0126
04:000.9851.0726
05:000.9951.1164
06:000.9801.1676
07:001.0061.1824
08:001.0321.1175
09:001.0361.0836
10:000.9981.0485
11:000.9971.1236
12:000.9941.1236
13:000.9860.9845
14:000.9880.9615
15:000.9990.9174
16:001.0010.8685
17:000.9870.8745
18:001.0250.8645
19:001.0020.8755
20:000.9880.9205
21:000.9740.9345
22:000.9720.9044
23:000.9740.9635

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

When is the WoW Forever auction house cheapest during the day?
Across PvP Horde US, prices run cheapest around 22:00 UTC (14:00 Pacific), 2.8% under the daily average, and dearest around 01:00 UTC (17:00 Pacific), 3.8% over. The pattern is read from the hourly price of the market's largest positions over the last few weeks, each hour against the day around it.
What is the best time of day to buy and sell Tough Hunk of Bread?
On PvP Horde US, Tough Hunk of Bread is cheapest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 Pacific) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 220% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde US through the night fills the gaps.