How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning RP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: RP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/rp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Best hours to sell

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Spread after the 5% cut

Needs both windows.

Confidence

No pattern

No pattern yet: only 10 of the 24 hours of the day have been scanned on this market in the last 28 days. It fills in as players scan through the day.

Birchwood Maulby hour · RP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	12s	11s	29	1.021	1
01:00	02:00	11s	10s 50c	28	1.012	2
02:00	03:00	11s	10s 50c	28	1.012	2
06:00	07:00	13s	11s 50c	13	1.020	2
07:00	08:00	13s	11s 50c	13	1.020	2
08:00	09:00	12s 50c	11s 50c	14	0.977	2
09:00	10:00	11s 50c	10s	22	0.993	1
17:00	18:00	10s	10s	28	0.928	1
22:00	23:00	12s	9s	33	1.021	1
23:00	00:00	10s 84c	9s 50c	33	0.998	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.rp.horde.eu/4570 on the API.

The whole market by hour · RP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.000	1.055	1
01:00	02:00	0.987	1.053	2
02:00	03:00	0.982	1.057	2
06:00	07:00	0.999	0.909	2
07:00	08:00	1.006	0.892	2
08:00	09:00	0.991	0.917	2
09:00	10:00	1.002	0.908	1
17:00	18:00	1.026	1.087	1
22:00	23:00	1.013	1.062	1
23:00	00:00	0.994	1.061	2

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning RP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.