How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Bright Mantle is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 96% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 0.880 · typical 21s 36c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.120 · typical 37s 82c

Spread after the 5% cut

+96%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Bright Mantleby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	30s 58c	29s 50c	38	1.008	4
01:00	02:00	30s	27s 25c	33	0.998	4
02:00	03:00	17s	14s 33c	39	0.970	3
03:00	04:00	16s 67c	14s 33c	29	0.980	3
04:00	05:00	31s 67c	31s 33c	16	1.064	3
05:00	06:00	46s 50c	43s 50c	18	1.081	2
06:00	07:00	35s 33c	30s	18	1.061	3
07:00	08:00	28s 19c	25s 50c	14	0.999	4
08:00	09:00	25s 88c	24s 75c	15	0.950	4
09:00	10:00	25s 54c	24s 75c	16	0.964	4
10:00	11:00	25s 25c	22s 50c	18	0.979	4
11:00	12:00	25s 25c	22s 50c	22	0.996	4
12:00	13:00	23s	22s	24	0.971	4
13:00	14:00	22s 94c	22s	29	0.987	4
14:00	15:00	22s 50c	22s	33	0.990	4
15:00	16:00	18s 80c	18s 40c	21	0.809	5
16:00	17:00	22s 50c	19s	37	1.013	4
17:00	18:00	22s 79c	17s 50c	34	0.818	4
18:00	19:00	13s 7c	13s	47	0.984	3
19:00	20:00	29s 50c	29s	35	1.059	4
20:00	21:00	31s 46c	26s 60c	38	1.058	5
21:00	22:00	46s 67c	43s 33c	11	1.204	3
22:00	23:00	35s 33c	34s 33c	34	1.097	3
23:00	00:00	18s 33c	16s 33c	48	0.961	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/4661 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.003	1.128	4
01:00	02:00	0.958	1.123	4
02:00	03:00	0.958	1.126	3
03:00	04:00	1.018	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.108	0.858	4
05:00	06:00	1.018	0.813	2
06:00	07:00	1.029	0.856	3
07:00	08:00	1.009	0.734	4
08:00	09:00	0.999	0.803	5
09:00	10:00	1.034	0.789	5
10:00	11:00	1.023	0.863	5
11:00	12:00	1.010	0.898	5
12:00	13:00	1.019	0.943	5
13:00	14:00	1.011	1.019	5
14:00	15:00	0.984	1.076	5
15:00	16:00	0.974	1.061	5
16:00	17:00	1.004	1.136	5
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.072	4
18:00	19:00	0.957	1.222	4
19:00	20:00	0.956	1.218	4
20:00	21:00	0.977	1.246	5
21:00	22:00	0.990	0.963	3
22:00	23:00	1.008	1.131	3
23:00	00:00	0.995	1.088	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Bright Mantle?: On PvP Horde EU, Bright Mantle is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 96% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.