How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Skeletal Gauntlets is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 103% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 Pacific · index 0.935 · typical 7s 67c

Best hours to sell

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 Pacific · index 1.117 · typical 13s 45c

Spread after the 5% cut

+103%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Skeletal Gauntletsby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	7s 67c	6s 67c	42	0.957	3
01:00	17:00	4s 67c	4s 67c	31	0.947	3
02:00	18:00	4s 50c	4s 50c	45	0.996	2
03:00	19:00	4s 50c	4s 50c	44	1.009	2
04:00	20:00	6s 67c	6s	47	0.962	3
05:00	21:00	5s 75c	5s 75c	47	0.933	4
06:00	22:00	5s 75c	5s 25c	49	0.949	4
07:00	23:00	5s 75c	5s 50c	47	0.966	4
08:00	00:00	6s 33c	5s 67c	51	0.974	3
09:00	01:00	6s 33c	5s 33c	53	0.990	3
10:00	02:00	5s 75c	5s 25c	39	1.009	4
11:00	03:00	6s 33c	5s 33c	49	1.036	3
12:00	04:00	17s	16s	30	1.160	2
13:00	05:00	12s 67c	12s	30	1.114	3
14:00	06:00	10s 67c	9s	28	1.079	4
15:00	07:00	11s 33c	9s	26	1.041	3
16:00	08:00	10s 25c	8s 75c	23	1.018	4
17:00	09:00	9s	8s	24	0.976	4
18:00	10:00	10s 50c	9s 67c	25	0.999	3
19:00	11:00	10s 33c	8s	27	0.996	3
20:00	12:00	9s 67c	7s 67c	25	1.033	3
21:00	13:00	11s	8s	21	1.009	2
22:00	14:00	8s 33c	5s 67c	35	0.934	3
23:00	15:00	7s	6s 50c	42	0.913	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/4676 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Skeletal Gauntlets?: On PvP Alliance US, Skeletal Gauntlets is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 103% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.