How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Forest Leather Mantle is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 0.976 · typical 46s 86c

Best hours to sell

12:00 to 15:00 UTC

13:00 to 16:00 CET · index 1.020 · typical 42s 89c

Spread after the 5% cut

-8%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Forest Leather Mantleby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	44s	35s 50c	23	0.987	2
02:00	03:00	43s 50c	37s 50c	25	0.996	2
03:00	04:00	43s 50c	31s 50c	27	1.003	2
04:00	05:00	37s	33s 50c	24	0.991	2
05:00	06:00	49s	40s	22	1.064	1
06:00	07:00	41s 63c	38s	19	0.926	4
07:00	08:00	39s 75c	36s	19	0.995	3
08:00	09:00	48s 10c	46s 50c	13	1.015	4
09:00	10:00	44s 25c	37s 75c	13	0.954	4
10:00	11:00	46s	45s	16	0.975	4
11:00	12:00	50s 33c	50s 33c	13	0.998	3
12:00	13:00	38s 67c	35s	13	1.037	1
13:00	14:00	50s	46s 67c	21	1.022	3
14:00	15:00	40s	34s	37	1.000	2
15:00	16:00	39s 50c	38s	36	0.995	2
16:00	17:00	49s 33c	45s 67c	28	1.037	3
17:00	18:00	39s	36s	31	0.991	2
18:00	19:00	39s	36s	31	0.998	2
19:00	20:00	39s 34c	35s	23	1.015	2
20:00	21:00	37s 72c	35s	26	0.982	2
21:00	22:00	38s 40c	35s	30	0.971	1
22:00	23:00	44s 95c	38s 67c	17	1.020	3
23:00	00:00	38s 84c	36s	11	1.028	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/4709 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Forest Leather Mantle?: On PvP Alliance EU, Forest Leather Mantle is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 12:00 to 15:00 UTC (13:00 to 16:00 CET). The gap between them does not cover the 5 percent cut, so this is a buying pattern, not a flip.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.