How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Strength of Will is cheapest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 21% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

19:00 to 22:00 UTC

20:00 to 23:00 CET · index 0.834 · typical 59s 85c

Best hours to sell

14:00 to 17:00 UTC

15:00 to 18:00 CET · index 1.095 · typical 74s 36c

Spread after the 5% cut

+21%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Strength of Willby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	80s 67c	75s 33c	9	0.964	3
01:00	02:00	80s	78s 67c	10	0.976	3
02:00	03:00	80s	78s 33c	9	0.998	3
03:00	04:00	79s 33c	77s 67c	7	1.010	3
04:00	05:00	58s 50c	57s	8	1.019	2
05:00	06:00	1g 19s	1g 19s	6	1.049	1
06:00	07:00	1g 1s	99s	8	1.099	2
07:00	08:00	84s 25c	83s	5	1.053	4
08:00	09:00	83s 23c	83s	6	1.046	4
09:00	10:00	82s 38c	79s 25c	6	1.050	4
10:00	11:00	74s	69s	9	1.079	3
11:00	12:00	72s 33c	60s 67c	9	1.069	3
12:00	13:00	72s 33c	56s	9	1.087	3
13:00	14:00	72s 33c	55s 67c	10	1.106	3
14:00	15:00	69s 83c	55s 67c	11	1.082	3
15:00	16:00	69s	55s 33c	11	1.086	3
16:00	17:00	84s 25c	74s	8	1.116	4
17:00	18:00	89s 33c	84s	8	0.972	3
18:00	19:00	63s 50c	61s	13	0.814	2
19:00	20:00	61s 41c	60s 50c	14	0.813	2
20:00	21:00	84s 14c	80s 33c	10	0.931	3
21:00	22:00	34s	34s	13	0.757	1
22:00	23:00	61s	60s	13	0.878	2
23:00	00:00	80s 67c	79s 67c	9	0.946	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/4837 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Strength of Will?: On PvP Horde EU, Strength of Will is cheapest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET) and dearest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 21% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.