How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Dig Rat is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 117% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 0.826 · typical 4s 83c

Best hours to sell

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 1.227 · typical 9s 23c

Spread after the 5% cut

+117%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Dig Ratby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	6s 14c	5s 37c	81	1.004	4
01:00	02:00	5s 77c	5s 36c	85	0.909	4
02:00	03:00	4s 19c	3s 44c	97	0.901	3
03:00	04:00	4s 6c	3s 43c	88	0.884	3
04:00	05:00	6s 23c	5s 61c	31	0.996	3
05:00	06:00	7s 39c	6s 99c	50	0.946	2
06:00	07:00	6s 12c	5s 82c	55	0.968	3
07:00	08:00	5s 31c	5s 19c	44	0.904	4
08:00	09:00	5s 21c	5s 12c	50	0.881	4
09:00	10:00	5s 7c	4s 24c	44	0.861	4
10:00	11:00	5s 17c	4s 53c	50	0.896	4
11:00	12:00	4s 26c	3s 33c	46	0.720	5
12:00	13:00	5s 24c	4s 39c	43	0.926	5
13:00	14:00	6s 12c	5s 26c	56	1.128	4
14:00	15:00	6s 3c	5s 75c	73	1.119	4
15:00	16:00	9s 14c	8s 55c	57	1.247	5
16:00	17:00	9s 82c	9s 25c	45	1.285	4
17:00	18:00	8s 73c	5s 80c	54	1.150	4
18:00	19:00	8s 83c	5s 18c	58	1.193	3
19:00	20:00	5s 77c	5s 69c	69	0.933	3
20:00	21:00	6s 68c	5s 76c	68	1.062	4
21:00	22:00	7s 34c	7s	44	1.010	3
22:00	23:00	6s 17c	5s 60c	85	1.046	3
23:00	00:00	6s 29c	5s 55c	73	1.032	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/5051 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Dig Rat?: On PvP Horde EU, Dig Rat is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 117% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.