How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Thin Kodo Leather is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 79% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 0.930 · typical 1s 31c

Best hours to sell

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

05:00 to 08:00 CET · index 1.102 · typical 1s 79c

Spread after the 5% cut

+79%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Thin Kodo Leatherby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1s 27c	89c	198	0.920	4
01:00	02:00	1s 41c	92c	168	1.008	4
02:00	03:00	1s 8c	71c	160	0.981	3
03:00	04:00	85c	66c	150	0.821	3
04:00	05:00	2s 41c	1s 89c	137	1.341	4
05:00	06:00	1s 45c	1s 1c	197	0.904	2
06:00	07:00	1s 50c	90c	140	1.062	3
07:00	08:00	1s 11c	77c	153	0.942	4
08:00	09:00	1s 63c	1s 42c	138	0.949	5
09:00	10:00	1s 62c	92c	124	0.998	5
10:00	11:00	1s 68c	1s 38c	118	1.060	5
11:00	12:00	1s 68c	1s 34c	154	1.075	5
12:00	13:00	1s 62c	1s 30c	178	1.045	5
13:00	14:00	1s 54c	1s 15c	210	0.999	5
14:00	15:00	1s 50c	1s 8c	235	0.994	5
15:00	16:00	1s 31c	1s 5c	197	0.913	5
16:00	17:00	1s 34c	1s	219	0.970	5
17:00	18:00	1s 48c	1s 5c	263	0.981	4
18:00	19:00	1s 51c	1s 13c	307	1.012	3
19:00	20:00	1s 44c	95c	238	0.967	3
20:00	21:00	1s 53c	1s 23c	161	1.064	4
21:00	22:00	1s 69c	1s 46c	152	1.121	3
22:00	23:00	1s 30c	97c	190	0.889	3
23:00	00:00	1s 37c	98c	165	0.981	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/5082 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Thin Kodo Leather?: On PvP Horde EU, Thin Kodo Leather is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 79% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.